Alabama COVID-19 Tracker

[NationalTitles18]

I'll add one more comparison before I stop:

We have a lot of wildfires out here in CA. Reports always include the total acres burned, structures destroyed, number of fatalities, injuries, etc;...

Also reported is the containment, usually as a percentage of the perimeter secured from further fire. The fire keeps burning in places where the perimeter is not controlled.

Daily new cases is akin to that area where new acreage is burning. It tells you how "hot" transmission is for the moment. It does not tell the entire story, though, as the damage already done is an important metric.

We don't stop looking at the number of acres and buildings burned or people injured or killed yesterday or during the whole event as if they were not important to the whole story.

 

[NationalTitles18]

Worldometer tells you the number of active cases in each state. Just scroll down.

United States COVID - Coronavirus Statistics - Worldometer

United States Coronavirus update with statistics and graphs: total and new cases, deaths per day, mortality and recovery rates, current active cases, recoveries, trends and timeline.

www.worldometers.info

 

[AlistarWills]

Can someone help explain the Rt per day graph. I read about it but I’m still a bit confused. I see the shading on either side of the number which makes me thing that is some sort of standard deviation. I sent the site to a friend a week back and they posted the pic of the graph to their fb page to suggest all is now well.

 

[uafanataum]

Hello all, I'm an Alabama resident working on a state tracker for COVID-19. I'm trying to make the data as clear and simple as possible and make the tool mobile friendly, fast and easy to use.

Here is the site: https://alcovid19.info/

Any feedback is welcomed. Thanks and Roll Tide!

Looking at the site you linked: Mobile has almost as many cases and more confirmed deaths than Jefferson even with only about 40% of the number of tests run. That makes me think Mobile is actually the worst county in Alabama and they are just not getting sufficient testing to prove it.

 

[G-VilleTider]

Can someone help explain the Rt per day graph. I read about it but I’m still a bit confused. I see the shading on either side of the number which makes me thing that is some sort of standard deviation. I sent the site to a friend a week back and they posted the pic of the graph to their fb page to suggest all is now well.

Ro represents the average number of new infections per infected person. It is more of a static number while Rt is the number of new infections actually occurring over a given time period. Re shading, probably based on a gaussian distribution or something similar. I don't FB, but if he was posting it in that context, it was probably to point out that 25 states have a current Rt of less than 1, 20 more between 1 and 1.4 and the other 5 between 1.5 and 2.2. Encouraging that CT, MI and NY now have the 3 lowest Rt rates of all the states; .37, .41 and .45 respectively.

 

[AlistarWills]

Ro represents the average number of new infections per infected person. It is more of a static number while Rt is the number of new infections actually occurring over a given time period. Re shading, probably based on a gaussian distribution or something similar. I don't FB, but if he was posting it in that context, it was probably to point out that 25 states have a current Rt of less than 1, 20 more between 1 and 1.4 and the other 5 between 1.5 and 2.2. Encouraging that CT, MI and NY now have the 3 lowest Rt rates of all the states; .37, .41 and .45 respectively.

you know, I got to playing with the time buttons on the Rt.live website. I shifted the view to specific regions to shrink the number of states in the list. If you go to 3 weeks ago and work toward current, the graph fluctuates wildly. If it fluctuates so wildly, then I wonder how it could be trusted as “the number to pay attention to” as the site states. I saw one state with Rt near zero and it shot back over 1.0.

 

[G-VilleTider]

you know, I got to playing with the time buttons on the Rt.live website. I shifted the view to specific regions to shrink the number of states in the list. If you go to 3 weeks ago and work toward current, the graph fluctuates wildly. If it fluctuates so wildly, then I wonder how it could be trusted as “the number to pay attention to” as the site states. I saw one state with Rt near zero and it shot back over 1.0.

The easiest way to think of this is on a new car. The Ro is your stated mpg. The Rt is your actual mpg for a trip you take. When you start, your current mpg will be all over the place. Varying wildly up and down depending on the terrain, other vehicles and how you personally our driving. But getting more stable and accurate over time. In other words, if the graph didn't wildly fluctuate early with a trend toward smoothing out, that would be very unexpected.

 

[Tidewater]

To add to my previous post:

If you are in a drought you are not just concerned with the water deficit for the day or the week or even the month. It is helpful to know the total deficit of precipitation since the drought began as that tells you how severe the drought is over time and the implications for a number of "downstream" effects.

In the case of a contagion the total disease burden is useful, for one thing, to tell you about the number of possible exposure points. Using that with the timing of the course of disease and other things you know (or think you know) about it (like the R0 and when someone becomes or stops being able to pass it to others) you can model potential future infections, hospitalizations, ICU admissions, ventilator needs, deaths, etc;...

Cumulative infections are an important barometer for a number of reasons.

Virginia is reporting cumulative cases as well
My county had 42 total cases last week, 8 hospitalizations and 0 deaths. Today, there are 52 total cases, 10 hospitalizations, 1 death.
If I keep my eye on the data over time, I can get a snapshot of where we are right now.
The next county over got their first case Thursday.