CFN: Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction, Game Preview
- Thread starter crimsonaudio
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I'm glad you'll take it, Brad. But, if it's only two touchdowns, will this board????
An Alabama problem, for sure.
An Alabama problem, for sure.
I will forever be satisfied with a one point win in any game.
I might take issue with how certain players played or certain plays that were called, but ultimately, the W is all that matters...
Aggies will not score 20 on Bama's defense - just watch
We beat them by 18 in 2015
We beat them by 17 in 2016
We beat them by 8 in 2017
We beat them by 22 in 2018
We beat them by 19 last year
Outside of the 59 point beat down in 2014, we don't just destroy this team. They are talented and they get up for this game. Plus, I feel like we are built much more like the 2015 team this year than the Tua teams, even though I would say Mac Jones is a much better passer than Jake Coker was; I just think we are going to ball control it more than the Tua years.
34-20 sounds about right. Our defense does look much improved on the front 7, but that secondary.... needs reps. Mond is erratic but will make plays. But not nearly enough.
I agree with you on everything but only somewhat agree with you about this being much more like the 2015 team. The 2015 team was incredibly dependent on Derrick Henry and while this year's team has Najee and a good running game we have way too many other weapons on the outside and Mac is a definite upgrade at QB passing the ball. We had Ridley as a freshman on the '15 team and we have senior Smitty and junior Waddle on this team who are both so explosive that you have to be more aggressive. It won't be Tua like but it will be much more than the '15 team IMO. I agree we will win in the 14-18 pt range.
I feel like Mond only plays good against us. I just got this feeling that it will be tight early on but in the end we'll pull away for a comfortable victory.
I suspect this game is closer than it typically would be as I expect Saban will begin substituting secondary and tertiary players into the rotation much earlier than normal due to the potential for COVID havoc.
Bama will likely be a team that walks into every game with the opposing fans thinking Bama isn't as good as they typically are as they'll only look at the scoreboard of previous games, ignoring the idea that both offense and defense take a step back early in order to build depth.
Bama will likely be a team that walks into every game with the opposing fans thinking Bama isn't as good as they typically are as they'll only look at the scoreboard of previous games, ignoring the idea that both offense and defense take a step back early in order to build depth.
But when has he?
Mond in 2017 vs Bama:
19/29 for 237 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, QBR of 61.5
Mond in 2018 vs Bama:
16/33 for 196 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, QBR of 81.8
Mond in 2019 vs Bama:
24/42 for 264 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, QBR of 73.4
So Mond's average over the last three years against Bama would look like:
20/35 for 232 yards, 1TD, 1 INT, QBR of 72.2
Excuse me for not being worried.
Yes I really exaggerated the point but you are right. I just think Coach Saban is going to be more deliberate on offense and shorten the games. I think, in a normal year, that Jones and company could pull off the quick strike game well enough in the wake of Tua. Frankly he did this last season.
Another note, don’t discount A&M improving over their piddling performance in week 1. I still think we own the game, but they will have a decent showing compared to what they rolled out there against Vandy.
I expect Bama to improve as well...
I'd really be interested in knowing what kind of advantage oddmakers are giving the home team this season. Typically home field is worth 3-7 points but this season without the crowd home field is worth basically nothing.
His 2019 performance was pretty good. He hurt us bad with his scrambling but with a healthy Moses and others I don't see that happening this time around. Agreed that Mond does not worry me either but I expect a much better performance from A&M than they had against Vandy.
I heard Danny Sheridan on Finebaum and he said it is definitely less but not drastic.
People think Mond does well vs us because he broke a few long runs vs us last year. That was because we had young LBs who couldn’t find him.
Moses will keep that from happening this year.
Moses will keep that from happening this year.
The seasoned college football observer will remember the common saying that most teams improve the most between games 1 and 2.
But their run defense will likely regress...I’m guessing LSU does
They could give up 300+ passing yards and improve by 50%
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