I voted no teams from the SEC happens first.
That does NOT mean I think that will happen before two SEC teams deserve to be in. I just think there is no way that committee will choose two SEC teams for a long time.
At some point, you're going to have a 2-loss SEC champ, and the braying will drown out all reason.
So I think a 2-loss SEC champ happens before the committee admits what we all know, and puts in a non-champion SEC team in the Final Four.
It's not fair, or right, or the way they drew it up in fifth grade Sunday school. I think it's the way it is.
exactly my thinking. the conference is so tough, someone will lose 2 games even against highly ranked teams and someone else will get in
Third answer will never happen because that would set a precedent that would prevent them from not ever allowing the first answer to happen. The first answer will never happen because they would then be out of a job.
Here is a not too far fetched scenario that would cause the second answer to happen this year, and could very well show why the first and third answers will never happen. Top 5 CFP standings (not to be confused with Top 5 rankings):
1. F$U 13-0 ACC champion
2. Oklahoma 12-0 Big 12 champion
3. Michigan State 12-1 B1G champion (lost only at Oregon)
4. UCLA 12-1 Pac 12 champion (lost to Oregon regular season, beat Oregon in CG)
5. UF 10-3 SEC champion (lost to Bama regular season, lost to #1 F$U, beat Bama in CG)
Ding! Ding! Ding! We have a winner. Answer #2. There is no way UF gets in by any means. They would be, at best, be seeded 4th and that would put them in a rematch with #1 seeded F$U. That ain't happening!
There is a better chance of Oregon 12-1 Pac 12 non champion replacing Michigan State 12-1 B1g champion. But that ain't happening either because of the precedent setting, plus MSU is on an 11 game winning streak since losing at Oregon and Oregon is on a one game losing streak having just lost to UCLA.
Unfortunately, this right here is why this discussion is pointless. You just said Oregon is 12-1. Do you SERIOUSLY think a 10-3 Florida would be ranked higher than a 12-1 Oregon?
Who was Florida's third loss? And what was Alabama's record even though they beat Florida? Was Florida the first or second loss and if so who was the other loss?
And if Alabama has only ONE LOSS, how is a three-loss team ahead of them AND ahead of one-loss Oregon?
Your scenario is fictional and could never happen as described above. I didn't say hypothetical, I said fictional - it literally cannot happen (unless you want to give us the rest of the data).
Unfortunately, this right here is why this discussion is pointless. You just said Oregon is 12-1. Do you SERIOUSLY think a 10-3 Florida would be ranked higher than a 12-1 Oregon?
Who was Florida's third loss? And what was Alabama's record even though they beat Florida? Was Florida the first or second loss and if so who was the other loss?
And if Alabama has only ONE LOSS, how is a three-loss team ahead of them AND ahead of one-loss Oregon?
Your scenario is fictional and could never happen as described above. I didn't say hypothetical, I said fictional - it literally cannot happen (unless you want to give us the rest of the data).