Pick the score: Alabama vs Ole Miss

[BamaMoon]

If y’all believe that Texas is a playoff team, and save one bad int, we were right in it. Now all of a sudden Ole Miss is as good or better than Texas?

That’s what some of the score projections say

Recency bias explains it.

We've played one good game (MTSU), which gave everyone (Bama fans and media) a "Bama is Bama" outlook. It seems this game was a false positive.

We've played one game that was mediocre (Texas). That's probably too kind of a word to describe the game but as bad as the offense was, the defense played great and held them to 13 points at the beginning of the 4th, which should have been enough if our offense could have contributed with some long drives and points. This result had everyone (Bama fans and media) wondering "Is Bama Bama?"

Then there was last Saturday. If we just go with the results on the field (ignoring any conspiracy that some laid down and tried to affect the outcome) there's no bad word that comes close to the result. The only thing I can say is I watched college football all day long last Saturday until Sunday morning (CO/CO St) and I didn't see one team that looked so inept. The result had everyone (Bama fans and media) asking "Is Bama broken?"

So how do you interpret these three results which are dissimilar?

I think the hesitancy to pick Bama is based on recency bias. In two straight games we've got worse and with the problems that's haunted us (OL, QB and lot of penalties/mistakes) it just seems too much to think reinstating JM fixes it all.

 

[teamplayer]

If y’all believe that Texas is a playoff team, and save one bad int, we were right in it. Now all of a sudden Ole Miss is as good or better than Texas?

That’s what some of the score projections say

I don't think Texas is a playoff team. I think Ole Miss and Texas are pretty similar, but I feel quite certain that Ole Miss would crush South Florida. Regardless of those things, we have looked like crap. That is a plain and simple fact. If our breakdowns were just in one area, that wouldn't be as concerning. However, we often don't even look like our guys are running the same plays, and the coaches look like they aren't sure what play the guys just tried to run. I hope we get our act together and play up to our abilities because we still have a LOT of talent on this team, but I also know Kiffy-poo would probably trade every game this season for this one win. Of course, we should be able to count on him doing some stupid things. It still blows my mind how people think he is such a great coach. Anyway, based on roster talent, Bama should win by two touchdowns. Based on how they have played, I'll still pick Ole Miss. I'll be watching and hoping I'm wrong. Roll Tide!

 

[davefrat]

Recency bias explains it.

We've played one good game (MTSU), which gave everyone (Bama fans and media) a "Bama is Bama" outlook. It seems this game was a false positive.

We've played one game that was mediocre (Texas). That's probably too kind of a word to describe the game but as bad as the offense was, the defense played great and held them to 13 points at the beginning of the 4th, which should have been enough if our offense could have contributed with some long drives and points. This result had everyone (Bama fans and media) wondering "Is Bama Bama?"

Then there was last Saturday. If we just go with the results on the field (ignoring any conspiracy that some laid down and tried to affect the outcome) there's no bad word that comes close to the result. The only thing I can say is I watched college football all day long last Saturday until Sunday morning (CO/CO St) and I didn't see one team that looked so inept. The result had everyone (Bama fans and media) asking "Is Bama broken?"

So how do you interpret these three results which are dissimilar?

I think the hesitancy to pick Bama is based on recency bias. In two straight games we've got worse and with the problems that's haunted us (OL, QB and lot of penalties/mistakes) it just seems too much to think reinstating JM fixes it all.

Can anyone honestly say that we look like we improved at all from the first game of the season until today?

I can't.

And I can say that I confidently believe that we have regressed since the start of the season.

Can we beat Ole Miss? Absolutely.

Will we beat Ole Miss with the kind of play we showed against Texas? Maybe.

Will we beat Ole Miss with the kind of play we showed against USF? No.

 

[RollTide_HTTR]

If y’all believe that Texas is a playoff team, and save one bad int, we were right in it. Now all of a sudden Ole Miss is as good or better than Texas?

That’s what some of the score projections say

I think we beat Ole Miss. I also am not at all convinced Texas is a playoff team though.

 

[colbysullivan]

I cannot pick a score in a game that I fully expect us to lose. All I can do is hope for the best.

 

[bamacpa]

Do we think Ole Miss is better than USF, a team we could not pass block against ? The incredibly mediocre offensive line play so far seems so inept than even a Pete Golding defense could pressure our QB. It's hard for me to pick a team that isn't good at the line of scrimmage.

 

[AWRTR]

I think we beat Ole Miss. I also am not at all convinced Texas is a playoff team though.

That makes losing to them worse.

 

[RollTide_HTTR]

That makes losing to them worse.

Yes it does

 

[Cruloc]

My question is....do we give up more sacks than TDs we score? Again.

 

[AWRTR]

My question is....do we give up more sacks than TDs we score? Again.

Yikes! I hadn't thought about it quite like that, but you nailed it.

 

[mlh]

I think we beat Ole Miss. I also am not at all convinced Texas is a playoff team though.

I think Texas is a legit top 10 team. Whether they make the playoffs or not will be dependent of factors outside their control - i.e., they will need a couple of teams above them in the rankings to lose.

 

[CrimsonBloodn62]

I am going with the good guys. The defense have shown they are much improved this year. The Black Bears now have Petey.

Bama 37
Black Bears 27

 

[uafan4life]

Bama 55
Them 0

 

[Tidewater]

Alabama- 43
Ole Miss- 13

or, maybe ...

Ole Miss- 43
Alabama- 13

I have absolutely no idea which.

 

[glorydays1990]

Milroe has made 2 starts against real teams:

He scored 24 vs Texas AM, he scores 24 vs Texas

I’d guess we’d need to score more than that to win Saturday. Hopefully this week we see a different QB and different offense. If not. Think we are in trouble

 

[bamacon]

Milroe has made 2 starts against real teams:

He scored 24 vs Texas AM, he scores 24 vs Texas

I’d guess we’d need to score more than that to win Saturday. Hopefully this week we see a different QB and different offense. If not. Think we are in trouble

And the coaching staff has done ZERO to help him. No reason for not adjusting to his skill set.

 

[uaintn]

I think it comes down to the o-line protecting Milroe, cleaning up the bad snaps, and Milroe not giving away points. In the Texas game those two interceptions cost us possessions where we might have scored and gave Texas points. I think Casey Stengal said he hated players that scored two runs and let in three. And no penalties, though I think the lineman downfield call against Texas was flat wrong.

If we manage that we should win by double digits, maybe 31-21. If we don’t, well just better to think about something else.

 

[deltatider]

I think it comes down to the o-line protecting Milroe, cleaning up the bad snaps, and Milroe not giving away points. In the Texas game those two interceptions cost us possessions where we might have scored and gave Texas points. I think Casey Stengal said he hated players that scored two runs and let in three. And no penalties, though I think the lineman downfield call against Texas was flat wrong.

If we manage that we should win by double digits, maybe 31-21. If we don’t, well just better to think about something else.

I can't decide which is the bigger concern for me with Milroe...him turning the ball over, or him missing on the plays that are "there". Those 2 interceptions against Texas were killers, but there are about 2 or 3 plays in that game that would have been game changers that we just didn't execute on.... that lack of execution had nothing to do with anything Texas did...the plays were open but we just failed to execute. If he can just hit the plays that are "there" then I think we will be alright.....hopefully the game plan will play more to Milroe's strengths and we can use his legs to help open up the passing game/give him bigger windows to throw into.

 

[Bama Lee]

Bama28
Ole Miss 20

 

[colbysullivan]

I honestly have no idea how this game will play out. Excluding the Blake Barnetts and Cooper Batemans of the world (guys who got one start or just a few series), I have never trusted a Saban QB less than Milroe. Ever time he drops back to pass, I’m reminded of the SEC Shorts video of the Bama field goal kickers.