Going into last season, I had the team going 9-3 with losses to UT, OU and either UGA or LSU. I wasn’t too far off, though I was banking on OU being significantly better than their final record ended up.
My gut for this year’s team tells me 10-2. I have a harder time picking the losses but knee-jerk would be UGA and South Carolina. However, I would not be shocked to see us win those two and lose some head scratchers like Mizzou and OU. Honestly, OU has reloaded their roster and coaching staff enough to be pretty dangerous this season. I won’t believe the LSU hype until I see it, as Kelly has yet to field a truly competent defense down there, but they could be awfully good as well and could trip us up.
Everything Jess has said indicates that DeBoer gets 3 years absolute minimum. The administration doesn’t want to replicate what they’ve seen at AU and other places. I think he’d still be safe for another season even if we fall to 8-4 or 7-5 in 2025, which I think is unlikely.
Ultimately, anywhere from 12-0 to 8-4 will not shock me. This team has the roster to run the table but QB, which is huge in today’s game, is still a question mark until it isn’t. If we had a proven QB, I think I’d confidently say 11-1.
If I’m being honest, I’ll be satisfied with this season if we get to 9 wins, and two of those wins are UT and Auburn. I’ve said it before, but my undergrad years coincided with Shula’s tenure and I cut my teeth in the Dubose era, so 9 win seasons still feels pretty good to me. I never lost sight of that during the absolutely outrageous success we enjoyed with Nick. That was pretty much always going to be limited to his tenure IMO, and I’m not sure how much longer even he could have sustained it.
One huge box I would like to see us check is to get a convincing win against AU in JHS. One gripe I always had with the Saban staff is that they never seemed to take that rivalry as seriously as they did UT and LSU, and it showed. I hope this staff handles that differently. Manhandling AU last season after looking like a 5-7 team the week before against OU was encouraging. Saban’s teams would have come out flat against AU on the heels of a performance like that IMO.