Pick the score: Alabama vs. Clemson NCG

[VirginiaTide57]

Control the line of scrimmages, which I anticipate Bama doing, and the score should be 38-21 in favor of the Crimson. I just don't believe that Clemson has faced a physical team the likes of Bama this year.

 

[WildTusk]

I did some analysis base on both teams statistics offense and defense relative to who they played against and it was a dead heat. Clemson is a good team who is also peaking like us. I will say 27-24 Bama

 

[Snuffy Smith]

I am feeling something like 31-10 for the men in white.


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[Tide-one-on]

Alabama 31
Clemson 13
#16

 

[selmaborntidefan]

I didn't finish typing up my numbers analysis (went to Dad's and his water heater seals broke so uh that was unplanned).

But my numbers crunching shows:


Alabama 27
Clemson 13


We'll see

 

[JBama_in_PCOLA]

I didn't finish typing up my numbers analysis (went to Dad's and his water heater seals broke so uh that was unplanned).

But my numbers crunching shows:


Alabama 27
Clemson 13


We'll see

I'll listen to you and Jess. I said 25-10 Bama. Clemson won't reach 20.


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[CrimsonForce]

SIAP: Last 5 games Clemson has allowed 126 points. Alabama has allowed 40 points..

 

[Con]

SIAP: Last 5 games Clemson has allowed 126 points. Alabama has allowed 40 points..

And I keep hearing how good their defense is and how they have lock-down corners on defense. Something just doesn't add up here for their mighty defense.

 

[CrimsonForce]

And I keep hearing how good their defense is and how they have lock-down corners on defense. Something just doesn't add up here for their mighty defense.

I agree. I think Clemson has great individual talent on defense but they don't play elite defense as a group. Washington, a few years ago, is a great example of that situation. They had 3 or 4 first round picks in the NFL draft from their defense but their defense was in the bottom quarter statistically in just about every category..

 

[92tide]

And I keep hearing how good their defense is and how they have lock-down corners on defense. Something just doesn't add up here for their mighty defense.

and it's not like they have been consistently playing great offenses

 

[JBama_in_PCOLA]

and it's not like they have been consistently playing great offenses

It makes me wonder if they are like Oklahoma. Just a product of their conference.


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[CoolBreeze]

Please just give Henry 40+ carries...don't care about the score but we will win!

 

[selmaborntidefan]

I'll listen to you and Jess. I said 25-10 Bama. Clemson won't reach 20.


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My same methodology (only used at end of season) had:

Alabama 28 Notre Dame 7
A dead-heat tie with Ohio State last year (didn't post it because I didn't believe it)
Seattle 28 Patriots 24 (my method cannot account for coaching stupidity)
Alabama 31 Mich St 10 (again - I fudged the number and spotted them a score, predicting 31-17)

JessN's analysis takes things into account numbers cannot although his point about turnovers and Clemson is dead-on accurate (I think his whole take is to be honest). Clemson turned the ball over basically as many times in each half of the season (12 one half, 13 the other). We had 13 turnovers prior to the LSU game - four since.

There's one other thing that makes me hesitant - Clemson's two best games this year have been against their two best opponents, FSU and OU. I'll share some of the data later as I've mapped it all out but oh well. Wanted to at least say the score so if it's right nobody says, "Well, anybody can get it right afterwards"

 

[Go Bama]

SIAP: Last 5 games Clemson has allowed 126 points. Alabama has allowed 40 points..

and it's not like they have been consistently playing great offenses

Oklahoma 37-17
UNC 45-37
USCe 37-32
Wake 33-13
Syracuse 37-27

This is not a good defensive team. These are the scores for Clemson's last 5 games. Clemson is NOT going to score 37 on this Bama defense. The only way Clemson keeps it close is with turnovers and special teams (Bama has better stats against better teams in both categories).

Clemson has backed into the championship game by beating a lot of cupcakes and winning a few key games. It may be close at the half, but I fear for the TV ratings in the second half. If you're advertising, get it in early.

31-13 Bama. RTR!

 

[JBama_in_PCOLA]

My same methodology (only used at end of season) had:

Alabama 28 Notre Dame 7
A dead-heat tie with Ohio State last year (didn't post it because I didn't believe it)
Seattle 28 Patriots 24 (my method cannot account for coaching stupidity)
Alabama 31 Mich St 10 (again - I fudged the number and spotted them a score, predicting 31-17)

JessN's analysis takes things into account numbers cannot although his point about turnovers and Clemson is dead-on accurate (I think his whole take is to be honest). Clemson turned the ball over basically as many times in each half of the season (12 one half, 13 the other). We had 13 turnovers prior to the LSU game - four since.

There's one other thing that makes me hesitant - Clemson's two best games this year have been against their two best opponents, FSU and OU. I'll share some of the data later as I've mapped it all out but oh well. Wanted to at least say the score so if it's right nobody says, "Well, anybody can get it right afterwards"

Remember ND, as well.


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[selmaborntidefan]

Also taken into account - we've played FOUR DEFENSES higher-rated than Clemson.....and we're 4-0

Wisconsin (13.7 ppg, 35)
Georgia (16.9, 38)
Florida (18.3, 27)
Tennessee (20.0, 19)

 

[JBama_in_PCOLA]

Also taken into account - we've played FOUR DEFENSES higher-rated than Clemson.....and we're 4-0

Wisconsin (13.7 ppg, 35)
Georgia (16.9, 38)
Florida (18.3, 27)
Tennessee (20.0, 19)

Plus, LSU's run defense is rated higher.


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[Jordan54]

Bama 27 Clemson 17. Bama wins, but closer than I would like. I'll take a 1 point win. Roll Tide guys. It's great to be a Bama fan.

 

[Probius]

Bama 31
Clemson 17

RTR!

 

[champions77]

I've got it Bama 27, Clemson 23. Should be a good one. Bama top to bottom better talent.

Roll tide Roll!!!