Always like your analysis Selma. I will take the score that you predicted. RTRMy same methodology (only used at end of season) had:
Alabama 28 Notre Dame 7
A dead-heat tie with Ohio State last year (didn't post it because I didn't believe it)
Seattle 28 Patriots 24 (my method cannot account for coaching stupidity)
Alabama 31 Mich St 10 (again - I fudged the number and spotted them a score, predicting 31-17)
JessN's analysis takes things into account numbers cannot although his point about turnovers and Clemson is dead-on accurate (I think his whole take is to be honest). Clemson turned the ball over basically as many times in each half of the season (12 one half, 13 the other). We had 13 turnovers prior to the LSU game - four since.
There's one other thing that makes me hesitant - Clemson's two best games this year have been against their two best opponents, FSU and OU. I'll share some of the data later as I've mapped it all out but oh well. Wanted to at least say the score so if it's right nobody says, "Well, anybody can get it right afterwards"