millions to one? At least that. It would be hard to recreate that accident in a computer simulation. One summer at Bama i took a course because i was behind in my credits, shocker, called statistics and probabilities. It turned out one of the most fun things i did. It was a study mostly of life's strange happenings and the odds of them doing so. This was before computers, i'm old. Back then, probabilities were calculated by mathematicians, not computers and software. From this course i developed a theory of my own called- The randomness of life. I know at times it seems like there are hidden, secret forces conspiring against you. There aren't, it's just the randomness of life. To your point selma, dale's wreck reminded me of an airline plane crash. This little part was defective, the maintenance guy was off by a hair on this adjustment, it was raining, and the crew implemented the correct procedure wrongly. Any of these things don't happen, the plane flies. But the combination was deadly. What if schraders car was going just 5 mph slower? I could go on for hours with questions like that. If you die suddenly and hopefully you get to heaven, at the pearly gates ask saint peter, Hey bud what happened? It was the randomness of life my son, will be the answer.
The critical thing, though, was the sudden stop from going 160 mph.
Yes, Earnhardt had some horrific crashes (perhaps most notably the one in the 1996 Die Hard 500 at Talladega, where he broke his pelvis), but those were crashes where the energy dissipated out of the accident and lowered the impact he took personally (note: no, I'm not an engineer, and I'm staying in a Red Roof Inn, not a Holiday Inn Express).
Interesting anecdote (to me): two days before the 2001 Daytona 500, a derecho blasted across Mississippi and left us without cable TV for about six weeks or so. That day, my Dad tuned in the MRN broadcast on the radio while working outside with my brothers, and he had seen so many races that he could visualize quite well what happened at what track. When Allen Bestwick said something along the lines of "Earnhardt straight into the wall", my Dad told the two brothers (this without seeing it) - "Earnhardt just died." and both my brothers were like, "Dad has lost his mind." A few minutes later, Bestwick came on moments later and said, "And Earnhardt's crash may be fatal." They were in shock - but he had investigated airplane crashes for years, so the concept itself is sorta the same.
You can imagine my shock when around 8 pm or so I got my dial-up internet to work and my MSN homepage popped up with "Dale Earnhardt dies in last lap crash at Daytona." And I figured it was click bait, that it was Junior. I could NOT believe it - because even then on the net it wasn't really played up, and because of the lack of cable in those pre-text message and I phone days, I missed all that happened the next several weeks.
What's so sad is this: if I was to show anyone a race of sheer excitement and "this is why people like this stuff", I'd show them that race - up until the last lap. And even that would have been exciting had he not been killed.