Beating the barn is a big if. You know they’re going to come to town sky high. We haven’t shown much motivation to beat them in recent years. Saban had that businesslike approach to play with an even keel regardless of the opponent. It was maddening when it came to the barn, but it kept us from losing to scrubs like oklahoma. Now we have neither the businesslike approach to beat the scrubs nor the motivation to beat our hated rivals (who also happen to be scrubs). Hope I’m wrong though.FWIW, Allstate Playoff Predictor says we beat the barn and there's a 41% chance. If you look at team by team likelihood, that's right about 12th best chance...by a good 7 or 8% over #13.
So...it would be far less shocking to make the playoff than it would seem it should be.