Video: College Football Nerds pick Vandy at Bama

[Cruloc]

 

[colbysullivan]

IDK man, I just can’t be confident about a 10 point win (or any win for that matter) with how bad our defense is against the run. They are going to try to control the clock, and we have to get off the field on 3rd down.

 

[Cruloc]

IDK man, I just can’t be confident about a 10 point win (or any win for that matter) with how bad our defense is against the run. They are going to try to control the clock, and we have to get off the field on 3rd down.

The only way we win by more than 1 score is if we get up on them early, force them to get out of their comfort zone and force a turnover.

If they can control things and we can't stop them a few times......we are in trouble.

If we can score early and not have any turnovers.....we win.

 

[Bamabuzzard]

Vandy completes over 61% of their third downs. That's what we're going to have to eat into to stop the ball control. The best way to do that is to win first and second down. We can't give up six and seven yards on first and second down. We have to force them into third and longs to take the run game out of it.

 

[MikeInBama]

What's interesting is their site has us losing 34-31

https://collegefootballnerds.com/ComputerModel/Alabama-vs-Vanderbilt

 

[Cruloc]

What's interesting is their site has us losing 34-31

https://collegefootballnerds.com/ComputerModel/Alabama-vs-Vanderbilt

Its the fact the data is skewed because of their run O and our run D.

 

[mlh]

The title of this thread makes it sound like the Nerds pick Vandy to win.

 

[colbysullivan]

Vandy completes over 61% of their third downs. That's what we're going to have to eat into to stop the ball control. The best way to do that is to win first and second down. We can't give up six and seven yards on first and second down. We have to force them into third and longs to take the run game out of it.

The crazy thing is we held them to 3 yards per carry last year, but it simply didn’t matter. They converted on 3rd down no matter the distance.

 

[DrollTide]

Both offenses will probably be able to score. That would normally mean a high-scoring game, but I think certainly Vandy and maybe Alabama (in response) will prefer long slow drives/ball control over explosive plays. So it may be a relatively close game, unless we find the secret sauce to stop their qb.

 

[Bamabuzzard]

The crazy thing is we held them to 3 yards per carry last year, but it simply didn’t matter. They converted on 3rd down no matter the distance.

Well, if you think about it, 3 yards per carry on first and second down means 3 and 4 on 3rd. Which is VERY manageable.

 

[colbysullivan]

Well, if you think about it, 3 yards per carry on first and second down means 3 and 4 on 3rd. Which is VERY manageable.

True but the narrative is “they ran all over us” when it really was death by a thousand cuts…

 

[Bamabuzzard]

True but the narrative is “they ran all over us” when it really was death by a thousand cuts…

Oh, no doubt it was like death by a thousand paper cuts. That's EXACTLY what it felt like watching it. We've got to take that element out of the game.