I am of the opinion that Alabama has fallen to the level of a mid tier SEC program when we fear Ole Miss. The premier programs are now UGA, LSU, and UT. We are now on the level with USCe, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Auburn. For those who still believe we have the best talent in the SEC, I do not buy this. I think our recruiting is overrated and so is the coaching. I hope I am wrong, but we have serious problems and, am afraid we do not have an answer.
I agree with your general assessment. Bama's talent is overrated, IMO, especially on offense. Only Bond and maybe Haynes are possible 1st or 2nd rounders - Niblack can be a difference-maker, but he is a TE. There's more on D.
But where Alabama is really lacking is on both LOS. This is a killer. Added to the talent drop, is that both LOS coaches, Wolford and Roach appear to be mediocre at best.
Added to the above is that JM is not a good fit for the type of offense Alabama prefers to run. Though I do agree that he should be the QB because TS, who does fit the offense, looks overmatched at the moment; and TB, well, though he processed things much better than JM or TS have done, in fact, well enough to do well, he simply could not execute a forward pass consistently, even the most simple ones. He's a pretty good athlete too.
On top of what this game means for this season, if not careful, it could have significant ramifications for the future of the program. Julian Sayin will be there and no doubt along with all other important recruits is intently monitoring the ongoing state of the program. (The attending fans should be aware.)
Having said all of the above - Bama certainly has enough to beat OM, but will they?
IMO, LSU and especially UT do not belong on the same line with UGA as premier programs. In fact, the SEC is as bad as I can remember. LSU got boat-raced in the 4th by a good, though overrated FSU team and UT lost convincingly to a discombobulated UF. They are good programs but hardly premier.