Let the Madness begin - How Bama makes it to the playoffs…..

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CoolBreeze

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It's not happening. Everyone at Alabama knows this. That is why the players have started announcing their intent to enter the portal
Yep, it is officially recruiting & roundball season for Tidefans. That does not mean I won't take two showers and wear my lucky Bama shirt on Saturday. And maybe break out the ole rabbits foot...do some visualization, say a prayer or two, donate to charity, think positively, salt over the shoulder...heck with it man, I'm still believin!
 

TitleWave

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Dec 3, 2012
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I think it's a pipe dream.
Perhaps, Coach, but put this Borkhum Riff vanilla in that pipe and smoke it: At least we're about to get served up "games of mild interest" that will determine where 'Bama meets UCF and Göös Malzahn for the KPMG-certified Group of Five National Championship!
 

PA Tide Fan

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Say it with me........2022 Alabama is not getting into the College Football Playoff.
There might be still a 1% chance but not much more. I think it would take much courage from the committee to take a 2 loss Alabama over a 1 loss TCU and I don't think they have that courage. They wouldn't want the pushback over a decision to take a 2 loss team when a decent 1 loss team is available.
 

tusks_n_raider

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There might be still a 1% chance but not much more. I think it would take much courage from the committee to take a 2 loss Alabama over a 1 loss TCU and I don't think they have that courage. They wouldn't want the pushback over a decision to take a 2 loss team when a decent 1 loss team is available.
FWIW ESPN's playoff predictor moved us from 12.2% to 14.1%

tOSU is now at 71.5%!!!

Of course they are 11-1 instead of 10-2 but being #5 right now vs #6 is a massive difference in odds.

USCw is at 19.9% which is surprising.

The computers REALLY like Utah's chance to upset with them having a 66% chance to beat the Trojans.

TCU will probably keep us at #5 because they might lose but it's doubtful that KSU will blow them out.
 

PA Tide Fan

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FWIW ESPN's playoff predictor moved us from 12.2% to 14.1%

tOSU is now at 71.5%!!!

Of course they are 11-1 instead of 10-2 but being #5 right now vs #6 is a massive difference in odds.

USCw is at 19.9% which is surprising.

The computers REALLY like Utah's chance to upset with them having a 66% chance to beat the Trojans.

TCU will probably keep us at #5 because they might lose but it's doubtful that KSU will blow them out.
Interesting. The ESPN playoff predictor is asking me to pick the conference champions and then calculating the odds based upon my selections. It's not giving me your odds however. Is this what you're looking at?
 

rolltd

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The only way I think Bama gets in is if USC and TCU both lose by huge margins. Bama would then have to move from 6 to 4. That would mean a rematch of last year's title game in one semi and last week's UM/OSU game in the other. I'm curious if the committee would move Bama to 3 to avoid that.

I think it's a pipe dream.
Corn cob pipe ,loaded with rabbit tobacco
 
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tusks_n_raider

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Interesting. The ESPN playoff predictor is asking me to pick the conference champions and then calculating the odds based upon my selections. It's not giving me your odds however. Is this what you're looking at?
Sorry I didn't mean their interactive fan thing.

I was talking about the Playoff Probability Predictor from their Computer Rankings page

It's under the "Playoff %" column...

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi
 

Cruloc

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There might be still a 1% chance but not much more. I think it would take much courage from the committee to take a 2 loss Alabama over a 1 loss TCU and I don't think they have that courage. They wouldn't want the pushback over a decision to take a 2 loss team when a decent 1 loss team is available.
dumb-and-dumber-chance.gif
 

selmaborntidefan

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There might be still a 1% chance but not much more. I think it would take much courage from the committee to take a 2 loss Alabama over a 1 loss TCU and I don't think they have that courage. They wouldn't want the pushback over a decision to take a 2 loss team when a decent 1 loss team is available.
What pushback are they ACTUALLY going to get?

Get fired?
Who's going to overrule them?

yeah, people will complain online JUST LIKE EVERY YEAR!!!!

But what actual pushback is there?
 
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BamaMoon

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I dropped off around page 32, so I'm being lazy and just want to catch up.

I'm just assuming the ONLY way we slip in is a TCU and USC loss in the conference championship games.

We'd slide in behind TOSU at #4 (if both lose).

I figure if both happen it's still just a "maybe" but not a sure thing especially with TCU only having one loss???
 

JustNeedMe81

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I dropped off around page 32, so I'm being lazy and just want to catch up.

I'm just assuming the ONLY way we slip in is a TCU and USC loss in the conference championship games.

We'd slide in behind TOSU at #4 (if both lose).

I figure if both happen it's still just a "maybe" but not a sure thing especially with TCU only having one loss???
In another word, we need two teams to lose by 10 points for us to slip in...

So basically, we're headed to Sugar bowl.
 
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Cruloc

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I dropped off around page 32, so I'm being lazy and just want to catch up.

I'm just assuming the ONLY way we slip in is a TCU and USC loss in the conference championship games.

We'd slide in behind TOSU at #4 (if both lose).

I figure if both happen it's still just a "maybe" but not a sure thing especially with TCU only having one loss???
I think TCU would have to lose by 5 TD's and lose their starting QB to injury and give up 600 yards to KSU. That, and Utah would have to just win. Then maybe, just maybe we slide into #4.

Also, I'd like to sell some beachfront property in Nebraska to Matt Rhule, anyone have his number?
 
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VernonTider

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Nov 9, 2019
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I know I'm in the minority here, but I think if USC and TCU both lose, then Ohio State and Alabama both get in.

I don't really believe that'll happen, sadly; I'm sort of thinking one of them may lose. I do think if both lose, then the Buckeyes and 'Bama both get in. I don't think it takes some blowout for TCU to drop. Not sure why that's the belief on here. Tell me who they've beaten that's so impressive -- plus, the eyes that Ohio State and Alabama bring to the playoff will FAR outweigh what TCU brings backing into the playoffs with a loss.
 
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