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LSU vs BAMA Predictions

GulfCoastTider said:
[Broken Record]
The game of football is won and lost on the line of scrimmage.[/Broken Record]
Alabama has owned the line of scrimmage against every opponent, on both sides of the ball.
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Absolutely true. I'm hoping that with our depth, we don't get worn down like everyone else who has played y'all. That's one of the big keys to the game, IMO


I can't find anyone on LSU's "victim" list with an offense as balanced and productive as Bama's. They haven't faced anyone with an offensive line like ours. They haven't seen anyone with such a ferocious front seven on defense.
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Likewise

I think the game will be close through three quarters but I think Bama's superior talent up front will be the key and we will win by more than a touchdown. I've said all season that I think Bama is about a touchdown better than LSU and I've seen nothing yet to change my opinion.
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Quite possible, but remember, LSU hung with Bama in 2008 and 2009, when Bama was across the board much better talentwise than this year. So past history makes me think this one will be no different. Very close, and probably the hardest hitting game in college football this year.
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LSU is the only team we play that can hang with us for a full 4 quarters. They are crushing their opponents just like we are. After reviewing all of the stats, games, points per game, allowed points per game; I say:

Alabama wins: 27-17​

If LSU wins: 23-20
 
LSU63 said:
Quite possible, but remember, LSU hung with Bama in 2008 and 2009, when Bama was across the board much better talentwise than this year. So past history makes me think this one will be no different. Very close, and probably the hardest hitting game in college football this year.
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Are you saying Alabama was across the board more talented in 2008 and 2009 than we are this season? If so you are highly mistaken. We don't have a receiver like Julio, but at every other position we are as talented or more talented.
 
TideEngineer08 said:
To the LSU fans, home field is going to play a big part in this game. Don't discount that.
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Maybe that's true this year. Who knows. It certainly hasn't been the case in recent history. Say, last 5 years. You guys beat us at home, we beat you at home, etc. Basically I'm saying that home field advantage hasn't really been an advantage as of late. But like I always say, teams change every year, past history can be a guage but not always a reliable one. It's going to be a good one fellas.
 
CenLA Tiger said:
Maybe that's true this year. Who knows. It certainly hasn't been the case in recent history. Say, last 5 years. You guys beat us at home, we beat you at home, etc. Basically I'm saying that home field advantage hasn't really been an advantage as of late. But like I always say, teams change every year, past history can be a guage but not always a reliable one. It's going to be a good one fellas.
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It has been an advantage. We had no business being in the game in 2007, yet somehow we led 34-27 late. LSU's superior talent overcame that deficit. The home field definitely helped us in 2009, and y'all in 2010.
 
TideEngineer08 said:
Are you saying Alabama was across the board more talented in 2008 and 2009 than we are this season? If so you are highly mistaken. We don't have a receiver like Julio, but at every other position we are as talented or more talented.
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No I'm saying Bama had a bigger talent gap compared to LSU than this year
 
RTR91 said:
And you guys are 90th in the nation passing. With our DBs, Bama can man up and load the box.
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A lot of that "90th in the nation passing" comes from running clock late in games, and from short fields set up by the opportunistic defense.

It makes more sense to look at passing efficiency instead, where LSU is #1 in the SEC and #10 in the nation, ahead of teams like Clemson and Oklahoma State, who are perceived to be tearing it up through the air.

Anyone expecting LSU come in and look bad hasn't been paying attention.
 
One thing that has not been mentioned. In talks about the future it always comes up as how young LSU is. Looking at a depth chart on D from the beginning of the year 2 lb's are seniors. Claiborne is a Jr. Just about all the rest are SO's or Fresh a few being RS Fresh. Safe to say most have never played against a physical team like Bama. Williams and AJ are just about the only ones that didn't see meaningful PT against them last year. I dont think LSU can come from behind offensively (that is no defensive or ST points) more than 3-7 points. On the other hand I feel Bama can. Offense and defense straight up I think we win going away. But nobody is better than LSu at forcing mistakes and making every mistake fatal. With that point we are gonna make mistakes and probably more than they do. Are we determined enough to overcome them.
 
LSU averages 4.3 yds per carry, BAMA 5.84. After 30+ carries, that's pretty significant.

Also, LSU is actually 99th (183 ypgm) in passing. BAMA is 61st (228 ypgm).

In terms of intangibles, I'm not sure what LSU has on their team leadership wise, but I definitely like where we stand in that category.
 
If you look at the tale of the tape and all the numbers, Bama should win in a close one. I have two concerns though--our tendency to be slow out of the chute in the first qtr and the CK injury--and I think BOTH of them could be factors in the game that work to LSU's advantage.
 
deliveryman35 said:
If you look at the tale of the tape and all the numbers, Bama should win in a close one. I have two concerns though--our tendency to be slow out of the chute in the first qtr and the CK injury--and I think BOTH of them could be factors in the game that work to LSU's advantage.
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I agree completely. I also think they have a marked advantage at punter.
 
deliveryman35 said:
If you look at the tale of the tape and all the numbers, Bama should win in a close one. I have two concerns though--our tendency to be slow out of the chute in the first qtr and the CK injury--and I think BOTH of them could be factors in the game that work to LSU's advantage.
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Some of the LSU posters have said (and I've noticed it, too) LSU starts out slow. Look at how many of their points came in the second half against AU. While they whipped MSU, they didn't score early on them.
 
miggy402 said:
Also, LSU is actually 99th (183 ypgm) in passing. BAMA is 61st (228 ypgm).
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That statistic isn't particularly meaningful. The LSU passing game has been very efficient and effective. They've also operated with a short field due to turnovers by the opponent and a strong punting game. Hence, not a ton of yardage.

By the way, I don't believe I've ever seen a team whose punter can make such a difference in the game's outcome. Wing has been amazing.

I do worry about LSU matching up on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, but I'm hoping depth and speed compensate.

LSU wins a close one. Did I predict already? Anyway 7 to 10 points.
 
VoiceofReason said:
That statistic isn't particularly meaningful. The LSU passing game has been very efficient and effective. They've also operated with a short field due to turnovers by the opponent and a strong punting game. Hence, not a ton of yardage.

By the way, I don't believe I've ever seen a team whose punter can make such a difference in the game's outcome. Wing has been amazing.

I do worry about LSU matching up on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, but I'm hoping depth and speed compensate.

LSU wins a close one. Did I predict already? Anyway 7 to 10 points.
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You guys definitely have an edge in the kicking game, and with Randle and Shepard you have to be at least satisfied with the matchups with our corners, who are very good by the way but have been burned on the homerun ball early in ballgames this year.

IF this game were being played in BR, I'd predict you guys would win this one. But at BDS we are 23-1(if I'm not mistaken) since the beginning of the 2008 season, so I'm going with the Tide in this one. That is how evenly matched I think we are in this game.
 
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deliveryman35 said:
If you look at the tale of the tape and all the numbers, Bama should win in a close one. I have two concerns though--our tendency to be slow out of the chute in the first qtr and the CK injury--and I think BOTH of them could be factors in the game that work to LSU's advantage.
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Yep, both work to LSU's advantage.

But the there's an interesting count-pointer-count to that: LSU's defense had a bend-not-break style.
That could be to our advantage.

But somehow, I still "feel" like this is a Bama team for the ages, so I'm sticking with my 35-14 prediction.
Mostly because it's fun, and I don't have any shiny objects to look at :)
 
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