I'll repeat something I said a few weeks ago earlier in this thread. With no inside info or knowledge whatsoever, my impression is that Watford is "looking" for a reason to choose Bama. My guess is he wants to stay in state and play at Bama (heart) but his head says there are other places that might be better choices. So I hope CNO is working on giving him logical reasons to stay at home and play.
FWIW, if it comes down to us and Indiana, I like our chances. Not as confident about us vs. Memphis. With the cloud of suspicion around LSU, I'd be shocked if he went that direction.