I'll go down the list:
1) Gruden - It ain't gonna happen. Gruden is an NFL guy through and through. He is not like Nick Saban in that Nick spent 10-15 years as a head coach in college. Gruden is in a good spot down in Tampa Bay, and I don't see why in the world he would want to leave the Bucs to take a step down in pay and in stature. It just doesn't make any sense for his career.
2) Muschamp - I'm not sure Muschamp is a good fit. My guess is that UT will go after a proven head coach, not an assistant. Muschamp may be on the list, but not high enough to get the job IMO
3) Cutcliff - Too close to Fulmer. UT fans will want a fresh breathe of air, not someone who has been on Fulmer's staff almost his entire career. Not to mention that Cutcliff is in his first year at Duke, and has also had health issues.
4) Leach - IMO, also not a good fit at UT. It would take him a while to install his type of offense and recruit the players he needs for it. Also, Leach is a bit essentric, and may rub some people in the UT fan base the wrong way. Not only that, but Leach has things going pretty well where he is at, and he is in Texas, one of the best recruiting bases in the country. Not to mention, he would have to compete in the SEC.
5) Brian Kelley - He would be my #1 choice if I were a UT fan. He's been very successful everywhere he's been. He runs a disciplined program and seems to get alot out of his players. IMO, he would be a major step forward for UT.
6) Gary Patterson - Another good coach who has been very successful. He would be a good choice for UT.
7) Mark Dantonio - Would he leave Mich St. for UT? I'm not so sure he would leave after just a two year tenure there. He seems like more of a Big 10 guy. Good coach, but I'm not so sure he'd leave.
8) Chris Peterson - I just don't see him leaving the West Coast, or Mid West. He is in a good spot at Boise, and to leave for the SEC would be a major change. I just don't think he is a good fit at UT.
9) Bill Cowher - Forget about it
10) Kevin Steele- Has UT ties. Is a good recruiter. However, he didn't show much when he was at Baylor. He's probaby a good fit for UT, but he is not the big bang hire they are looking for. The only way this happens is if some of the others on the top of the list falls through.
11) Charlie Strong - Would UT consider a minority candidate for the job? Strong is a good coach, who at one time seemed to be on the verge of landing a head coaching gig. In my opinion though, it's just too much of a stretch, similiar to Muschamp.
12) Skip Holtz - Over rated coach in my opinion. Bama and UF fans will be dancing in the streets if he is hired. Didn't he just sign a big contract with ECU? I know he was close to signing it.
13) Butch Davis- Don't see it. It's only his second year at UNC. He's in the ACC where he can compete every year for a conference title, and he has a pretty good recruiting base. Why move to UT to have to compete in the SEC against stiffer competition with a worse recruiting base? It makes no sense.
In my opinion, the next head coach at UT will be Brian Kelly. But, we'll see.