It's probably for certain that Lawrence will be the first pick next year, but I do think there is an intangible about Burrow that is superior to Lawrence. If you look at the upper echelon of QBs in the league i.e., Brady, Rodgers, Wilson, Brees, they all have a common trait in that they know exactly where to throw the ball and can improvise when things break down. Watching Burrow this year, he really showed those types of traits.
Lawrence, while he has the size and arm strength, I just haven't seen some of the same intangible characteristics that Burrow has. He can run, that's for sure, but I don't think that's a part of his game that will translate well to the NFL. He has good open field speed, but not not the quickness of Lamar Jackson or even Russell Wilson.