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News Article: Good luck dealing with a pandemic, depending on this administration...

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For those who think the big number projections are unrealistic:

www.nytimes.com

Worst-Case Estimates for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths (Published 2020)

Projections based on C.D.C. scenarios show a potentially vast toll. But those numbers don’t account for interventions now underway.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com

The C.D.C.’s scenarios were depicted in terms of percentages of the population. Translated into absolute numbers by independent experts using simple models of how viruses spread, the worst-case figures would be staggering if no actions were taken to slow transmission.
Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.

And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the United States could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill.
The assumptions fueling those scenarios are mitigated by the fact that cities, states, businesses and individuals are beginning to take steps to slow transmission, even if some are acting less aggressively than others. The C.D.C.-led effort is developing more sophisticated models showing how interventions might decrease the worst-case numbers, though their projections have not been made public.
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The assumptions in the C.D.C.’s four scenarios, and the new numerical projections, fall in the range of others developed by independent experts.
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Even severe flu seasons stress the nation’s hospitals to the point of setting up tents in parking lots and keeping people for days in emergency rooms. Coronavirus is likely to cause five to 10 times that burden of disease, said Dr. James Lawler, an infectious diseases specialist and public health expert at the University of Nebraska Medical Center. Hospitals “need to start working now,” he said, “to get prepared to take care of a heck of a lot of people.”

Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators.

Dr. Lawler’s calculations suggested 480,000 deaths, which he said was conservative. By contrast, about 20,000 to 50,000 people have died from flu-related illnesses this season, according to the C.D.C. Unlike with seasonal influenza, the entire population is thought to be susceptible to the new coronavirus.
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Welcome to all the new folks. We have been discussing this with similar numbers for a while now. Some say they are alarming. You should be alarmed. You should not be panicked.
 
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Go Bama said:
Talked to my sister who flew from Brussels to Atlanta earlier today. She was not tested and was told to self quarantine for 14 days BUT because she flew out of Nashville our cousin drove from Fayetteville, TN to Atlanta to collect my sister. o_O
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My granddaughter landed at Dulles today, no testing, quarantine or anything. Her flight was direct from Geneva. However, her husband, in the Coast Guard, has been ordered to quarantine for two weeks, for being in contact with her. They passed out masks on the plane. The plane was packed and people were talking about the fantastic sums they'd paid for last minute tickets...
 
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Just got back from picking up some dinner. The place was completely empty. Staff said everyone was panicked and the store shelves were empty at the local DG. I stay pretty well stocked on most things but did have to buy TP a few days ago and a little extra food so I was ahead of that curve. CA K-12 is open and I hear they are trying to wait until spring break week after next to close. I said it's too bad we have to do all this since if we could test we could find out who has it and isolate them instead of just shutting everything down. They were surprised to hear the testing criteria and test shortage. They were worried so I gave the stock tips (wash hands, etc;...) and said chances are they would be OK but just use (un)common sense and be careful. That applies across the board.
 
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B1GTide said:
Had 3 friends fly home from Prague into O'hare yesterday. No special treatment.
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My wife is 0 for 2 on flights from Düsseldorf. Next attempt is on Sunday. She’s been told that the screenings are supposed to start tomorrow. She’s in the weird predicament as others though in that she’s flying into Atlanta so I’ll have to pick her up with my boys or she’ll have to rent a car.
 
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My wife and her colleagues are prepared to spend multiple days at the hospital.

My daughter just started Spring Break, and it will be extended to March 30.

My office will start mandatory teleworking on Monday. The good thing is that I'll be able to spend a lot of time with my daughter. The bad thing is that my wife will expect me to do house work.
 
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The feds screwed this up big time and they must be held accountable, but now we need to work together to demand they produce the tests and make it available so we can move away from social distancing (AKA shutting everything down) and move toward testing so we can isolate and quarantine in a targeted manner.

www.forbes.com

South Korea Sees Coronavirus Slowdown—Without A Lockdown, But With Nearly 250,000 Tests

Topline: South Korea reported more recoveries from coronavirus on Friday than new infections for the first time since the outbreak began in January and without any lockdowns—but through almost 250,000 virus tests, compared to reportedly fewer than 14,000 in the United States.
www.forbes.com www.forbes.com
 
This man can't tell the truth about anything!

https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnko...M6_tjlkRZMFz5dbs5FxDDrblkACBoZ_s#5223b41b54cc

President Trump told the nation in a press conference today today that Google has 1,700 engineers building a website to help detect coronavirus and facilitate country-wide testing. That’s news to Google, which quickly clarified the situation on Twitter.

Google is just one company in the Alphabet holding company.

Apparently a different Alphabet subsidiary called Verily is working on a small-scale Bay-area website for COVID-19 pre-testing triage. The as-yet-unreleased site will help people understand if they should get tested, and then direct them to appropriate facilities.

It is, however, not even in testing yet, and is currently designated only for the Bay Area: San Francisco and environs.

Verily does, however, have “hope of expanding more broadly over time.”
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Bodhisattva said:
My wife and her colleagues are prepared to spend multiple days at the hospital.

My daughter just started Spring Break, and it will be extended to March 30.

My office will start mandatory teleworking on Monday. The good thing is that I'll be able to spend a lot of time with my daughter. The bad thing is that my wife will expect me to do house work.
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worked from home for the last 19 years. Laundry and meal prep were super easy on con calls till we went video. Now I just take a break, put on a fresh Kurig, change a load of laundry while its brewing. Easy
 
www.al.com

Coronavirus in Alabama

Coronavirus COVID-19 news and developments, resources for families, businesses and all Alabamians, to know facts on travel, schools, doctors, hospitals and businesses updated live. Updated critical data post: <https://bit.ly/2UoO0vC>
www.al.com www.al.com

Counties with coronavirus cases: Alabama now has five coronavirus cases. One of the cases in in Jefferson County. Another case, a civilian employee at Maxwell Air Force Base in Montgomery, was announced earlier today. The Jefferson County case involves someone who traveled internationally and returned home where they were tested by their private physician. Cases have also been reported in Limestone, Elmore and Tuscaloosa counties. The ADPH lists another case as “out-of-town,” but has not provided information on that case
 
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SIAP, but it's getting real now!

abc3340.com

Alabama suspends spring football due to coronavirus concerns

Alabama spring football practice has been suspended until further notice. This includes all football media-related activities. Related: Auburn postpones spring football due to coronavirus concerns. We will provide updates when more information is available. Interactive COVID-19 (coronavirus)...
abc3340.com abc3340.com
 
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