Michigan Opens as Slight Favorite in Rose Bowl

[Big Bama1966]

good we got'em right where we want them... LANK!!!!

 

[Lifer]

Wonder what are the odds of Beating UM
27-24!🤔

 

[Power Eye]

I haven't watched a ton of Michigan this year so I could be wrong. I need to go back and watch some of their games.

But Michigan seems to be built like a team that plays directly into our hands, at least on offense. And IIRC Penn State's QB who isn't a tenth as talented of a runner as Milroe ran on them a decent amount.

They seem to be a team that is built to beat other Big 10 teams and that's about it. Not trying to sound arrogant, it's just they really haven't beaten anyone of significance outside the Big 10 under Harbaugh.

 

[RollTide_HTTR]

They seem to be a team that is built to beat other Big 10 teams and that's about it. Not trying to sound arrogant, it's just they really haven't beaten anyone of significance outside the Big 10 under Harbaugh.

Just said the same thing to a coworker. Michigan is built to beat Ohio State. The problem is that plays into teams like Alabama and Georgia's hands.

 

[westide]

I love it when we are the underdog.

 

[SkullDuckery]

From what I’ve seen they have stout lines and their dline looks legit. I just don’t know about their skill positions, are they dynamic? Can they beat our secondary guys?

 

[Carollovestide]

Doesn’t bother me one bit !!!!! Our boys need to keep that chip on their shoulder !!!!

 

[jthomas666]

Interesting look at the QB numbers...

https://www.reddit.com/r/rolltide/comments/18aokuk

Might be a little misleading, given that in the last several games Michigan hasn't NEEDED to pass. But I still see us loading up against the run.

 

[B1GTide]

Interesting look at the QB numbers...

https://www.reddit.com/r/rolltide/comments/18aokuk

Might be a little misleading, given that in the last several games Michigan hasn't NEEDED to pass. But I still see us loading up against the run.

Thank you. Everyone should read that.

 

[CoolBreeze]

I love it when we are the underdog.

Me too. Underdog against UGA. Underdog against meat chicken. Will probably be the underdog to the froghorns as well. I like our chances.

 

[JayBama_in_PCOLA]

Interesting look at the QB numbers...

https://www.reddit.com/r/rolltide/comments/18aokuk

Might be a little misleading, given that in the last several games Michigan hasn't NEEDED to pass. But I still see us loading up against the run.

That was a fantastic read. I saw a Michigan poster he gave a quick run down of their offense. He’s very worried because he said their running game isn’t as Good as it seems.

 

[landonew]

From what I’ve seen they have stout lines and their dline looks legit. I just don’t know about their skill positions, are they dynamic? Can they beat our secondary guys?

It's always difficult to project how position units will match up. However, Bama's secondary is elite and should match up favorably against MI's receiving core. Both CBs projected 2024 first round picks, Moore (star) projected 2024 third round pick, Caleb Downs (fs) Freshman All-American.

 

[Big Bama1966]

What I REALLY don't get is all the trash talk about Bama in the CFP? Texas has a loss as well and played a championship game against a poor team OSU... They are in a weak conference and yet they are crying because Bama just beat a team #1 for almost two years straight with 29 straight wins but yet we are gettting flak because we got in??? LMAO yeah okay!! LANK

 

[dtgreg]

From what I’ve seen they have stout lines and their dline looks legit. I just don’t know about their skill positions, are they dynamic? Can they beat our secondary guys?

no

 

[countrytider]

Why are you worried about who people place bets on? It has zero effect on what happens on the field. None, nada, zip, zilch...

Most of the time, not always, but most of the time when the betting public is hammering one side…Vegas is actually at a liability if that team covers.

I wouldn’t say it doesn’t have an effect. You’d be surprised…you know Bama receives a lot of public action MOST of the time….then explain some of the calls we get from officiating crews.

They absolutely affect games…

 

[countrytider]

What were the percentages of the Georgia game?

Im not worried at all. The public at large have been dead wrong about this team since the Texas/USF debacle.

I’ll say about Michigan what beloved OL Jon Stevenson said about Ohio State prior to the 1995 Citrus Bowl: “slow, and lack of foot speed.”

65% of the public was betting GA - 6….which made me feel good about Bama’s chances. You guys can say what you want…I’m not saying it’s an outright conspiracy..but there is a reason that going against the public in sports betting is a PROVEN strategy. I’ve won money doing it…

 

[countrytider]

Another example guys, and I could go on and on…this year @ Auburn..over 85% of the betting public was pounding Alabama - 15 like it was FREE money…if Alabama covers that spread..Vegas LOSES money. Vegas does not lose in the long run.

I think we all saw the number of borderline criminal calls (or non calls) that went against Alabama…from the same crew who did the game in Knoxville last year.

I 100% disagree that it has no affect as to what happens on the field. The referees can, and do, play a major part in the outcome of games. That’s a fact.

 

[64 Grad]

Countrytider2, I find your comments very interesting. Are you saying that there are forces at work that try to prevent a team from covering the spread if a big majority of the money is bet on them? Since most of the money was bet on Georgia not reviewing the pass play Alabama converted for a first down late in the first half adds fuel to that fire. I agree betting against the public is a sound strategy. I think at times bookmakers place a certain spread on a game to encourage the public to bet one side when they actually like the other side, which leads to . The only way I can spot this is on games that have a 1/2 point or 1 point spread either side of 7, 10 or 14. Always take the low number and lay the high number. This theory did not work in the Alabama - Auburn game this year. The spread was Alabama -141/2. The theory says the odds makers liked Alabama. Try to analysis if the odds makers are trying to tell you something by the point spread. I don't know if they are trying to influence either side by making Michigan a 1 1/2 favorite.

 

[bamacon]

I nearly drove off the road coming home when I heard that.

They were down 10 pts. when they didn’t hear FLORIDA St. #4

 

[Bama Lee]

well, not really. in what I've watched of UM so far, they still spread out 3 receivers most of the times and also slide the TE out wide also.

Anyway, we don't run the 3-4 over/under any more. Outside of a few short yardage and goal line plays we've run the 3-4 ZERO times this year and in most games we never lined up in it at all. Our base D is a 4-2 Flex Nickel and really we're best when we don't even worry about the Flex of having an OLB able to drop and just play a 40 front. When we try to operate as a 3-3 Nickel, we get what happened on the first drive against UGA. 4-2 was the rest of the game. The only thing that's a bit of a holdover is that we still have a good bit of 2-gap responsibilities along the DL, but even that appears to be shifting to either hybrid or 1-gap.

I would say that our scheme is more like a 2-4 Flex Nickel. I say that because we tend to use only 2 defensive tackles. I have watched Michigan only the last two games, but I noticed a lot of multiple TE sets. That is why I alluded to the true 3-4. Their passing game isn't scary. It is their running game that has me concerned.