Offseason Thoughts on The State of The Program

Who had a better overall record his first two years at Bama? Saban, or Kalen?. It's not a trap question it's just a fact question.
What running back did Saban leave for DeBoer that was anywhere close to Henry, Jacobs, Drake, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson or Gibbs. I'd just like to hear the one, in your opinion that gave DeBoer a chance to have a great running game last year.
Name the great wide receivers that Saban left Deboer.
Name the great offensive linemen that Saban left Deboer.
46 players left the program the day after Nick Saban retired.
Deboer walked into a disaster of where a program was headed and he's done a damn good job of working his butt off to correct it.
I personally think he can get there, but it's going to take some time and support from Bama fans who have to understand that the G.O.A.T.(Next to Bryant) did Bama no favors by retiring without notice. He nearly wrecked the entire program. One Bama captain actually said, "People don't realize that Coach DeBoer performed a miracle for us to even have a team his first year." And like it or not he was telling the truth.
Roll Tide!
 
I really like this summary 4Q. And I agree with 99.9% of what you wrote. The 0.1%? This one.

Greg Byrne is the best AD in college sports. When the Michigan job came open, DeBoer could easily have gotten it if he'd wanted it. Byrne surveyed the coaching landscape and opted to double down on DeBoer.

Getting suckered into a 9 game SEC schedule was a horrendous mistake. The B1G outmaneuvered him on that one. And we're going to pay for it.

But, I'm nitpicking. And I know it. Your main point of "All you DeBoer bashers, find a better coach that will come here" is spot on. Anyone who says Kiffin will be mercilessly ridiculed by me.

But, for insanity's sake, let's say fire DeBoer. We just Auburned ourselves. No one worth a hoot will come here and, since our boosters and fans are crazy, we'll just churn coaches every 2-3 years. We'll be back to the Shula/Debose years waiting for the next Saban. And, folks, we'll never see that happen again unless some huge structural changes are made in college football.
 
I really like this summary 4Q. And I agree with 99.9% of what you wrote. The 0.1%? This one.



Getting suckered into a 9 game SEC schedule was a horrendous mistake. The B1G outmaneuvered him on that one. And we're going to pay for it.

But, I'm nitpicking. And I know it. Your main point of "All you DeBoer bashers, find a better coach that will come here" is spot on. Anyone who says Kiffin will be mercilessly ridiculed by me.

But, for insanity's sake, let's say fire DeBoer. We just Auburned ourselves. No one worth a hoot will come here and, since our boosters and fans are crazy, we'll just churn coaches every 2-3 years. We'll be back to the Shula/Debose years waiting for the next Saban. And, folks, we'll never see that happen again unless some huge structural changes are made in college football.
To be fair, Byrne didn’t get suckered into a 9-game SEC schedule.

Byrne’s only one of 16 SEC Athletic Directors.

Conference Commissioner Greg Sankey and the SEC presidents did, however, got played like ltzhak Perlman plays a Stradivarius.

Otherwise, we’re in agreement.
 
To be fair, Byrne didn’t get suckered into a 9-game SEC schedule.

Byrne’s only one of 16 SEC Athletic Directors.

Conference Commissioner Greg Sankey and the SEC presidents did, however, got played like ltzhak Perlman plays a Stradivarius.

Otherwise, we’re in agreement.
You are 100% correct, sir. For some reason my addled mind was thinking Sankey and substituted Byrne.

In an unrelated note, I have actually seen Yo Yo Ma play cello in concert.
 
Who had a better overall record his first two years at Bama? Saban, or Kalen?. It's not a trap question it's just a fact question.
What running back did Saban leave for DeBoer that was anywhere close to Henry, Jacobs, Drake, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson or Gibbs. I'd just like to hear the one, in your opinion that gave DeBoer a chance to have a great running game last year.
Name the great wide receivers that Saban left Deboer.
Name the great offensive linemen that Saban left Deboer.
46 players left the program the day after Nick Saban retired.
Deboer walked into a disaster of where a program was headed and he's done a damn good job of working his butt off to correct it.
I personally think he can get there, but it's going to take some time and support from Bama fans who have to understand that the G.O.A.T.(Next to Bryant) did Bama no favors by retiring without notice. He nearly wrecked the entire program. One Bama captain actually said, "People don't realize that Coach DeBoer performed a miracle for us to even have a team his first year." And like it or not he was telling the truth.
Roll Tide!
I think you're being too hard on Saban. Sure he retired suddenly but I always thought he would. I never thought he'd give a year or two notice before he'd do it. What do you think Saban's recruiting class would have looked like during his final year or two had he done that? Saban did recruit Ryan Coleman- Williams who's a pretty good receiver for DeBoer. Saban also recruited Kayden Proctor, who was a pretty good O'lineman for DeBoer. Yes, DeBoer had the better first two year record at Bama but Saban took over a team that was 6-7 its prior season while DeBoer took over a team that was 12-2 the prior season. I think it's unfair to say Saban almost wrecked the program. When any great coach retires these days players look elsewhere. You think there wouldn't be a mass exodus of players if Kirby decided to leave Georgia?
 
I think you're being too hard on Saban. Sure he retired suddenly but I always thought he would. I never thought he'd give a year or two notice before he'd do it. What do you think Saban's recruiting class would have looked like during his final year or two had he done that? Saban did recruit Ryan Coleman- Williams who's a pretty good receiver for DeBoer. Saban also recruited Kayden Proctor, who was a pretty good O'lineman for DeBoer. Yes, DeBoer had the better first two year record at Bama but Saban took over a team that was 6-7 its prior season while DeBoer took over a team that was 12-2 the prior season. I think it's unfair to say Saban almost wrecked the program. When any great coach retires these days players look elsewhere. You think there wouldn't be a mass exodus of players if Kirby decided to leave Georgia?

Way too hard. Comically too hard. Many have been too hard and assigned too much blame.

CNS took over a team ravaged by probation and who finished a season just quitting and losing 5 out of their final 6 games.

What great All-American Award Winning off the shelf players did Shula leave CNS??

I mean give me a break who are kidding with this nonsense revisionist history.

The 1st guy that hit an All-American difference maker level was True Freshman Rolando McClain.

That’s a Saban kid… Saban got that guy… he got a LOT of guys.

(Edit: For 100% accuracy he did inherit Andre Smith who was an FWAA FR All-American in 2006.

He became a Consensus All-American under CNS and won the Outland in 2008.)

There were also a few All-SEC level players that developed further into All-American level players under CNS.

Guys like Caldwell and Rashad Johnson.

The guys he inherited he put through a crucible and either made them better or made them quit and they moved on.

The entire program was Soft and lacked discipline and he had to completely rebuild everything in year 1 and take us from recruiting rankings of barely in the Top 25 most of the time to perennial Top 5 or Higher.

He had an undefeated regular season in Year two and hit a #1 Ranking and gave Meyer and Tebow’s team all they wanted in the SECCG with on paper a much less talented roster.

CKD took over a program who just went 12-2 and won an SEC Championship and lost in a Semifinal OT game to the eventual NC.

There was a lot of guys who left but there was still more talent on paper left over than what rolled into 2007 from Shula. Certainly not less in any shape for or fashion.

There also wasn’t any branding damage. Our image as a program was still close to its zenith. So theoretically that’s one less obstacle in attracting new players to come in addition to being able to take players from the portal as immediate transfers who can immediately play.

It’s the new staffs job to build a roster and Alabama isn’t the only team that’s had to deal with mass roster turnover in the NIL era.

CKD did inherit Proctor, Booker, and #4 who on paper at least were All-SEC or in Proctor’s case a Fr All-American.

The only new addition in 2024 at that level was Ryan Williams.

In 2025 the All-SEC players were Ty, Proctor, Brailsford, Lawson, and Bray.

Only Brailsford is 100% a CKD developed player. I’m not saying the other 4 didn’t grow just that they were inherited players from CNS.

But the lack of accountability towards the new staff for faults and flaws is absolutely astounding.

I don’t like the CNS to CKD comparison to begin with because it’s not 1:1 because the landscape has changed a lot and keeps changing and in addition to that CNS is the GOAT undisputed with a bullet point. Nobody compares.

But nobody wants to allow any kind of comparisons to contemporaries either in the same time frame and circumstances.

Any other Top HC vs CKD is also not allowed and is ‘Unfair’ because most have more tenure at their current school.

If a comparison is made the timeline changes and people pick their early years in a pre nil pre portal era where they are having to slowly build their program through recruiting only and that’s also not 1:1 and a bad faith debate starter.

It’s also not allowed to compare CKD to someone with the same tenure in the same era like Cignetti because “He has an entire team of 29 year old 8th year seniors… Unfair!”

It’s excuse after excuse after excuse, move the goal posts after moving the goalposts, passing the blame after passing the blame.

We are in a situation where the HC is making Top 5 $10 Million money but its simultaneously an apprenticeship ‘learning as he goes’ with an asinine contract with a ridiculous buyout and it’s just okay that it’s that way.

We can’t talk about the pros and cons because of the ‘well who can we replace him with tomorrow’ stipulation which to be completely honest is immaterial to the fact of how well the current job is being done or not done.

How did Tidefans get here?

How is Nick Saban a Villain?

How and why is a guy who averages 4 losses a year and who loses to 5 loss teams as double digit favorites and who gets blown out by 3-4 scores just off limits and above criticism?

All of it to me is just crazy. I’m sorry but it’s crazy.
 
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Who had a better overall record his first two years at Bama? Saban, or Kalen?. It's not a trap question it's just a fact question.
What running back did Saban leave for DeBoer that was anywhere close to Henry, Jacobs, Drake, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson or Gibbs. I'd just like to hear the one, in your opinion that gave DeBoer a chance to have a great running game last year.
Name the great wide receivers that Saban left Deboer.
Name the great offensive linemen that Saban left Deboer.
46 players left the program the day after Nick Saban retired.
Deboer walked into a disaster of where a program was headed and he's done a damn good job of working his butt off to correct it.
I personally think he can get there, but it's going to take some time and support from Bama fans who have to understand that the G.O.A.T.(Next to Bryant) did Bama no favors by retiring without notice. He nearly wrecked the entire program. One Bama captain actually said, "People don't realize that Coach DeBoer performed a miracle for us to even have a team his first year." And like it or not he was telling the truth.
Roll Tide!
The program was a disaster when he took over for Saban?

This is one of the stupidest things I've ever seen posted on this site.

You might want to check for a gas leak in your house dude.
 

Who had a better overall record his first two years at Bama? Saban, or Kalen?. It's not a trap question it's just a fact question.
What running back did Saban leave for DeBoer that was anywhere close to Henry, Jacobs, Drake, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson or Gibbs. I'd just like to hear the one, in your opinion that gave DeBoer a chance to have a great running game last year.
Name the great wide receivers that Saban left Deboer.
Name the great offensive linemen that Saban left Deboer.
46 players left the program the day after Nick Saban retired.
Deboer walked into a disaster of where a program was headed and he's done a damn good job of working his butt off to correct it.
I personally think he can get there, but it's going to take some time and support from Bama fans who have to understand that the G.O.A.T.(Next to Bryant) did Bama no favors by retiring without notice. He nearly wrecked the entire program. One Bama captain actually said, "People don't realize that Coach DeBoer performed a miracle for us to even have a team his first year." And like it or not he was telling the truth.
Roll Tide!
Welcome back! I'm assuming you are the same Alasippi from the past?
 
Way too hard. Comically too hard. Many have been too hard and assigned too much blame.

CNS took over a team ravaged by probation and who finished a season just quitting and losing 5 out of their final 6 games.

What great All-American Award Winning off the shelf players did Shula leave CNS??

I mean give me a break who are kidding with this nonsense revisionist history.

The 1st guy that hit an All-American difference maker level was True Freshman Rolando McClain.

That’s a Saban kid… Saban got that guy… he got a LOT of guys.

(Edit: For 100% accuracy he did inherit Andre Smith who was an FWAA FR All-American in 2006.

He became a Consensus All-American under CNS and won the Outland in 2008.)

There were also a few All-SEC level players that developed further into All-American level players under CNS.

Guys like Caldwell and Rashad Johnson.

The guys he inherited he put through a crucible and either made them better or made them quit and they moved on.

The entire program was Soft and lacked discipline and he had to completely rebuild everything in year 1 and take us from recruiting rankings of barely in the Top 25 most of the time to perennial Top 5 or Higher.

He had an undefeated regular season in Year two and hit a #1 Ranking and gave Meyer and Tebow’s team all they wanted in the SECCG with on paper a much less talented roster.

CKD took over a program who just went 12-2 and won an SEC Championship and lost in a Semifinal OT game to the eventual NC.

There was a lot of guys who left but there was still more talent on paper left over than what rolled into 2007 from Shula. Certainly not less in any shape for or fashion.

There also wasn’t any branding damage. Our image as a program was still close to its zenith. So theoretically that’s one less obstacle in attracting new players to come in addition to being able to take players from the portal as immediate transfers who can immediately play.

It’s the new staffs job to build a roster and Alabama isn’t the only team that’s had to deal with mass roster turnover in the NIL era.

CKD did inherit Proctor, Booker, and #4 who on paper at least were All-SEC or in Proctor’s case a Fr All-American.

The only new addition in 2024 at that level was Ryan Williams.

In 2025 the All-SEC players were Ty, Proctor, Brailsford, Lawson, and Bray.

Only Brailsford is 100% a CKD developed player. I’m not saying the other 4 didn’t grow just that they were inherited players from CNS.

But the lack of accountability towards the new staff for faults and flaws is absolutely astounding.

I don’t like the CNS to CKD comparison to begin with because it’s not 1:1 because the landscape has changed a lot and keeps changing and in addition to that CNS is the GOAT undisputed with a bullet point. Nobody compares.

But nobody wants to allow any kind of comparisons to contemporaries either in the same time frame and circumstances.

Any other Top HC vs CKD is also not allowed and is ‘Unfair’ because most have more tenure at their current school.

If a comparison is made the timeline changes and people pick their early years in a pre nil pre portal era where they are having to slowly build their program through recruiting only and that’s also not 1:1 and a bad faith debate starter.

It’s also not allowed to compare CKD to someone with the same tenure in the same era like Cignetti because “He has an entire team of 29 year old 8th year seniors… Unfair!”

It’s excuse after excuse after excuse, move the goal posts after moving the goalposts, passing the blame after passing the blame.

We are in a situation where the HC is making Top 5 $10 Million money but its simultaneously an apprenticeship ‘learning as he goes’ with an asinine contract with a ridiculous buyout and it’s just okay that it’s that way.

We can’t talk about the pros and cons because of the ‘well who can we replace him with tomorrow’ stipulation which to be completely honest is immaterial to the fact of how well the current job is being done or not done.

How did Tidefans get here?

How is Nick Saban a Villain?

How and why is a guy who averages 4 losses a year and who loses to 5 loss teams as double digit favorites and who gets blown out by 3-4 scores just off limits and above criticism?

All of it to me is just crazy. I’m sorry but it’s crazy.
Thank you for writing this in response to that ludicrous, excuse filled, revisionist history post. I agree with literally everything. To degrade CNS in order to excuse CKD is so wrong… as is calling those of us unsatisfied with our coaches performance ,“CKD bashers “.
I think most of us don’t feel he’s done enough yet, at Alabama to merit a massive extension or praise as an elite coach….but I’ve seen no one suggest he should’ve been fired . To me his grade is TBD…..we will surely get an answer in year 3. A great coach, with the many advantages Bama has, should at least have the team PREPARED for our opponents . If we lose to better teams, or a once in a lifetime performance, I can handle that.
 
Who had a better overall record his first two years at Bama? Saban, or Kalen?. It's not a trap question it's just a fact question.
What running back did Saban leave for DeBoer that was anywhere close to Henry, Jacobs, Drake, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson or Gibbs. I'd just like to hear the one, in your opinion that gave DeBoer a chance to have a great running game last year.
Name the great wide receivers that Saban left Deboer.
Name the great offensive linemen that Saban left Deboer.
46 players left the program the day after Nick Saban retired.
Deboer walked into a disaster of where a program was headed and he's done a damn good job of working his butt off to correct it.
I personally think he can get there, but it's going to take some time and support from Bama fans who have to understand that the G.O.A.T.(Next to Bryant) did Bama no favors by retiring without notice. He nearly wrecked the entire program. One Bama captain actually said, "People don't realize that Coach DeBoer performed a miracle for us to even have a team his first year." And like it or not he was telling the truth.
Roll Tide!

Both coaches walked into entirely different situations in their first year at Alabama. Recruiting needed to be completely rebuilt when Saban arrived, and yes, though a lot of players left when Saban retired, and DeBoer took over, he still had more talent in his first season than Saban did in his first season. The difference to me is the second year. Saban's second year, the team took an exponential leap in success where as DeBoer had success but had enough of the things that plagued him in his first year still pop up. It put a sour after-taste to his second year, even though there was improvement of overall success in year two.
 
...Stars aren’t an exact science, but it’s gotten better, and replacing a three star who developed into a high four with a three star who didn’t develop could be disastrous to a program trying to punch up with the elite NILs of the landscape.
Below is ChatGPT's answer to "What percentage of four star high school football recruits end up delivering on expectations in college?" I did not press further, but it "felt" about right to me. So you have about a 1 in 2 chance of getting what you paid for with a four star recruit. If your alternative is a 90% chance with a proven transfer, that seems, all other things being equal, a superior approach in the current landscape...
1783615991791.png
 
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I still don’t think that we, collectively as a fan base, truly grasp how spoiled we were under CNS.

...No one in the modern history of CFB is in the same galaxy as this...

...CNS had us past the Karman line for lengthy stretches...

...Some of y’all spent so much time in the stratosphere that you forgot what things were like with the Mikes...
I sense a theme here. How many shares of the SpaceX IPO did you get?
 
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In all of this discussion, there's three things that I can add that are factors that haven't been thrown out there. First, it was the situation CKD inherited his first year. IMO, it wasn't fully "his team" because guys had to be retained when Saban left and were thus made promises CKD had to honor. As much as he may have wanted to change some things his first year, he was limited. Much of this IMO was due to the way Saban left. He literally made the decision to leave the day it was announced - and although UA had an idea he was going to leave prior to that day, nothing firm could be put into place until it was made. Had Saban made the decision known two weeks prior to that day, things may have been different and the transition may have been easier.

Second, what CKD seems to be doing is in his wheelhouse. He didn't win at UW because they had the best talent on the field... they won because he took guys, coached them up, and established game plans designed to keep games close and winnable in the 4th quarter. One issue our fanbase has with CKD is the "way we win". Under Saban, we were used to comfortably winning most games every year... but that's just not the way CKD won games at UW and NIL certainly hasn't helped in that regard. I think CKD prefers to take lower ranked guys in many cases - maybe because of ego, hunger, etc.

Third, and related to the second, the elephant in the room here is the NIL $ players are making. What "group dynamic" do you have on a team when productive juniors and seniors see an incoming freshman out of HS making more money than them? Before anyone says "well that's the way it is in the NFL", you're dealing with guys who are at least 3-5 years younger and typically in the NFL a player will have an agent who understands the market and helps adjust an unrealistic opinion (usually not the case in college). When you get a bunch of 18-22 year olds who start arguing about worth, money, role, etc. there's a TON of potential for team issues. Maybe it's easier from a team dynamic to go with lesser talented guys and place a premium on "what you earn" rather than "what you're rated".

This thread in particular explains how complex college football has become in the NIL age. I have no doubt CKD has an overall plan in place - a plan that's being tweaked every year. Can he win big here? Can anyone win big here? Those are questions that simply can't be answered yet and even if they can "this year", there's no guarantee that "next year" will remain the same given the rate at which CFB seems to be changing.
 
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In all of this discussion, there's three things that I can add that are factors that haven't been thrown out there. First, it was the situation CKD inherited his first year. IMO, it wasn't fully "his team" because guys had to be retained when Saban left and were thus made promises CKD had to honor. As much as he may have wanted to change some things his first year, he was limited. Much of this IMO was due to the way Saban left. He literally made the decision to leave the day it was announced - and although UA had an idea he was going to leave prior to that day, nothing firm could be put into place until it was made. Had Saban made the decision known two weeks prior to that day, things may have been different and the transition may have been easier.

Second, what CKD seems to be doing is in his wheelhouse. He didn't win at UW because they had the best talent on the field... they won because he took guys, coached them up, and established game plans designed to keep games close and winnable in the 4th quarter. One issue our fanbase has with CKD is the "way we win". Under Saban, we were used to comfortably winning most games every year... but that's just not the way CKD won games at UW and NIL certainly hasn't helped in that regard. I think CKD prefers to take lower ranked guys in many cases - maybe because of ego, hunger, etc.

Third, and related to the second, the elephant in the room here is the NIL $ players are making. What "group dynamic" do you have on team when productive juniors and seniors see an incoming freshman out of HS making more money than them? Before anyone says "well that's the way it is in the NFL", you're dealing with guys who are at least 3-5 years younger and typically in the NFL a player will have an agent who understands the market and helps adjust an unrealistic opinion (usually not the case in college). When you get a bunch of 18-22 year olds who start arguing about worth, money, role, etc. there's a TON of potential for team issues. Maybe it's easier from a team dynamic to go with lesser talented guys and place a premium on "what you earn" rather than "what you're rated".

This thread in particular explains how complex college football has become in the NIL age. I have no doubt CKD has an overall plan in place - a plan that's being tweaked every year. Can he win big here? Can anyone win big here? Those are questions that simply can't be answered yet and even if they can "this year", there's no guarantee that "next year" will remain the same given the rate at which CFB seems to be changing.
Great post Rich! 😎
 
In all of this discussion, there's three things that I can add that are factors that haven't been thrown out there. First, it was the situation CKD inherited his first year. IMO, it wasn't fully "his team" because guys had to be retained when Saban left and were thus made promises CKD had to honor. As much as he may have wanted to change some things his first year, he was limited. Much of this IMO was due to the way Saban left. He literally made the decision to leave the day it was announced - and although UA had an idea he was going to leave prior to that day, nothing firm could be put into place until it was made. Had Saban made the decision known two weeks prior to that day, things may have been different and the transition may have been easier.

Second, what CKD seems to be doing is in his wheelhouse. He didn't win at UW because they had the best talent on the field... they won because he took guys, coached them up, and established game plans designed to keep games close and winnable in the 4th quarter. One issue our fanbase has with CKD is the "way we win". Under Saban, we were used to comfortably winning most games every year... but that's just not the way CKD won games at UW and NIL certainly hasn't helped in that regard. I think CKD prefers to take lower ranked guys in many cases - maybe because of ego, hunger, etc.

Third, and related to the second, the elephant in the room here is the NIL $ players are making. What "group dynamic" do you have on team when productive juniors and seniors see an incoming freshman out of HS making more money than them? Before anyone says "well that's the way it is in the NFL", you're dealing with guys who are at least 3-5 years younger and typically in the NFL a player will have an agent who understands the market and helps adjust an unrealistic opinion (usually not the case in college). When you get a bunch of 18-22 year olds who start arguing about worth, money, role, etc. there's a TON of potential for team issues. Maybe it's easier from a team dynamic to go with lesser talented guys and place a premium on "what you earn" rather than "what you're rated".

This thread in particular explains how complex college football has become in the NIL age. I have no doubt CKD has an overall plan in place - a plan that's being tweaked every year. Can he win big here? Can anyone win big here? Those are questions that simply can't be answered yet and even if they can "this year", there's no guarantee that "next year" will remain the same given the rate at which CFB seems to be changing.

Bottom line is that in order to win in the SEC, you have to have great coaching and great talent, and with NIL and the transfer portal he's probably not going to have time to "coach up" 2-3 stars to SEC level quality.

We will know within the next couple years A) whether DeBoer is up to the task and as or more importantly B) can Alabama compete in the modern college football world that is increasingly dominated by gazillionaire donors

Personally, I'm more concerned about B than I am A, because A won't matter a hill of beans if B turns out to be a negative.
 
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Thread keeps getting better and better. Frankly, there is no way to compare a legendary coach being hired at a sleeping giant building up a program with a unique style of leadership with emphasis on recruiting the best players with the guy that comes behind that legendary coach (who retired due to pay for play diluting his ability to get the best players) , taking on a challenge of continued success in an environment where the entire football world hates your program for beating the crap out of everyone in the sport the past decade and a half. I am sure that is a run on sentence.
 
In all of this discussion, there's three things that I can add that are factors that haven't been thrown out there. First, it was the situation CKD inherited his first year. IMO, it wasn't fully "his team" because guys had to be retained when Saban left and were thus made promises CKD had to honor. As much as he may have wanted to change some things his first year, he was limited. Much of this IMO was due to the way Saban left. He literally made the decision to leave the day it was announced - and although UA had an idea he was going to leave prior to that day, nothing firm could be put into place until it was made. Had Saban made the decision known two weeks prior to that day, things may have been different and the transition may have been easier.

Second, what CKD seems to be doing is in his wheelhouse. He didn't win at UW because they had the best talent on the field... they won because he took guys, coached them up, and established game plans designed to keep games close and winnable in the 4th quarter. One issue our fanbase has with CKD is the "way we win". Under Saban, we were used to comfortably winning most games every year... but that's just not the way CKD won games at UW and NIL certainly hasn't helped in that regard. I think CKD prefers to take lower ranked guys in many cases - maybe because of ego, hunger, etc.

Third, and related to the second, the elephant in the room here is the NIL $ players are making. What "group dynamic" do you have on team when productive juniors and seniors see an incoming freshman out of HS making more money than them? Before anyone says "well that's the way it is in the NFL", you're dealing with guys who are at least 3-5 years younger and typically in the NFL a player will have an agent who understands the market and helps adjust an unrealistic opinion (usually not the case in college). When you get a bunch of 18-22 year olds who start arguing about worth, money, role, etc. there's a TON of potential for team issues. Maybe it's easier from a team dynamic to go with lesser talented guys and place a premium on "what you earn" rather than "what you're rated".

This thread in particular explains how complex college football has become in the NIL age. I have no doubt CKD has an overall plan in place - a plan that's being tweaked every year. Can he win big here? Can anyone win big here? Those are questions that simply can't be answered yet and even if they can "this year", there's no guarantee that "next year" will remain the same given the rate at which CFB seems to be changing.
Concerning #2: I know we've talked about this (you and I), but I think CKD's relative newness to coaching major college ball will eventually teach him how to win those games with greater certainty instead of just barely getting by.

All of his FBS wins before Bama were at Fresno St. and Washington and it's just a few seasons total.

Now, at Bama, he's being baptized with fire and brimstone going against the greatest competition in college football throughout the regular season and then the playoffs.

If he's as smart as I believe he is, he'll learn quickly that you better put teams in the SEC away!
 
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