I don’t think Democrats can win Senate in 2026. And 2/3 are mathematically impossible
They have a narrow window at best in the Senate. Nothing is "impossible", but it will be VERY tough. There are 33 seats up for vote, and the GOP is defending 20. The Democrats have to keep their 13 and take 4 out of 20 from the GOP. It's looking at the states that makes it tough:
Alabama (Tubs)
Alaska
Arkansas
Idaho
Kansas
Louisiana
Mississippi
Nebraska
Oklahoma
S Carolina (Lindsey Graham)
S Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
WVA
Wyoming
The Democrats have 10 safe blue seats, all in states Harris won. But first off, they have to hold onto three seats in purple states: Georgia, Michigan, and New Hampshire. And if the Georgia GOP can keep from doing something incredibly stupid, the Dems will lose that one at a minimum, meaning they now need ALL FIVE of the following red states to flip blue:
Iowa (Ernst may be vulnerable)
Kentucky (McConnell retiring)
Maine (Collins will be 73)
North Carolina
Ohio
If they can keep GA, of course, they'll only need four.
It's not impossible, no.
But it's not likely, either.
then again - when Tender Feelings gets his ego punctured, he may turn on whomever in the party in a fit of rage. The Dems best chance is a cratering economy along with a raging Orange Lunatic.