I'm really worried about this game. It's valid to wonder if Fournette can be stopped. If there's anything hopeful to take away, it's that Chubb actually had a higher average and Alabama kept him in check really. But, that 7.3 average he ended up with just because of one big run is concerning. If Fournette averages 7 or more yards per carry against Alabama things could go a lot worse.
It isn't the huge runs that I think are likely to do Alabama in, it would be how many 5-10 yard runs that Fournette can string together. Against a common opponent, South Carolina (neither have played very tough schedules), Fournette was 158/7.9/1 and Chubb was 159/7.6/2.
We've seen Georgia without Chubb, they're a mess and by the same token if Fournette is held in check I think LSU would have issues. Last year Alabama held him to 3.8, they do that again and I think Alabama wins. Then again, last year three other team held him below that as well. This year no one has held him under 5. We shall see.
My worry goes deeper than this. When LF goes out for a breather, the who has 2 very good backs that can let him rest without letting up on our defense. Guice(9.3 ypc) and Williams(5.3 ypc) are both good running backs who can keep a drive going. When Henry comes out, Drake has been so ineffective that it's almost a wasted drive. If Bo or Harris don't get some meaningful carries, Fournete will be fresher than Henry towards the end of the game.
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