A lot of the points he made this year, could have been made for last year's team as well. It is easy enough to speak of the accomplishments of players after the fact, but there were plenty of logical reasons Alabama should not have won a national championship last year. But, they did.
You have a lot of the same reasons this year as well. Last year, we saw players emerge, like Yeldon and Cooper. Without that? Alabama would have been in trouble. We need the same thing again this year. In addition, we need key players to stay healthy.
So, it is as simple as this. If things go like they did last year, Alabama wins again. If players don't step up? If AJ is injured? The odds become nearly impossible. He relies too heavily on this simple formula though, and even wanders between calling it impossible, to more than 0, but not going to happen. It's not really a bold prediction, and he has an odd fascination with Auburn in his article.
Auburn was 3-9 last year. There's no reason at all to believe they'll provide any sort of a challenge to Alabama. Furthermore, Gus coached the 2011 Auburn team that Alabama beat 42-14, so I don't see how you put that together and arrive to the conclusion that they could be trouble for Alabama. If they're trouble for Alabama, Alabama is already in deep trouble... That part was enough for me to dismiss a lot of other things he said.