Firstly it has to be acknowledged that we have a BRUTAL schedule.
Road Games (of note): Wisky, Tenn, LSU, Oklahoma
Home Games (of note): Uga, Mizzou, AU
I think we go 5-0 in the other games not listed because we will be vastly more talented and should beat them.
The Road games are Tough... Should beat Wisc but the other 3 are Toss Ups. Going anywhere from 2-2 to 3-1 on those is a reasonable expectation.
The Home games are Tough.... Should beat AU but you never know with the IB... Mizzou and Uga are Toss Ups. We probably have a better chance to go 2-1 vs 1-2.
So altogether I'm going to say...
Worst Case: 8-4 and a Bowl game.
Best Case: 10-2 and make the new expanded CFBP
Granted that's my view right now before we've gone through spring and summer and w/o knowing the QB situation or how any of the new Fr perform and who grabs starting spots everywhere.
If we come out Guns Blazing in the Fall and knock of Uga early and get to Tenn at 6-0 my entire view might change and I'll be locked in on Atlanta and a Top Seed in the expanded CFBP.
As you noted, should beat Wisconsin
Should be a slight favorite vs UTn, LSU and OU.
Possibly a slight underdog to UGA.
BDS is a house of horrors for AU - 1 win in 17 years, mostly blow out losses: 22, 29, 31, 18, 11, 49, 36 in Alabama's last 7 wins, an average margin of 28.
Missouri could be good but Alabama should still be favored by 14+.
The QB situation will be delicate. A point of emphasis for CKD has always been that the "team" comes first. If he picks the wrong QB, then everything changes in multiple ways. None good. According to who is chosen, the national media will NOT help.