Is there a scenario where we still back into the playoffs?

[selmaborntidefan]

2014 they were given the out that neither TCU and Baylor were Oklahoma or Texas. So very few would care that Ohio St got in over them. Last year they took a gamble by not just putting Alabama over FSU but also Texas. I really think Georgia may have truly been the one to have gotten screwed.

Exactly.

Plus, the shady tactic the Big 12 used of "One True Champion" and then trying to make sure at least one team got in there by crowning two teams champions ("with an emphasis on conference championships") likely made the committee say, "Oh really? Well, have we got a surprise for you."

Ohio State DID move up because of the brand name, let's be honest.

But they were ALSO a good team, and TCU should have left no doubt by beating Baylor.

 

[selmaborntidefan]

Let me throw this one out there:

In 2022, we had the whole mess with TCU (1-loss but not a conf champ) and Alabama (2 losses).

Do you think that if we had:
a) BEATEN Tennessee but
b) LOST to aTm without Bryce

.....that we make the playoff that year?

The committee could have plausibly said, "Alabama had a narrow loss without their Heisman winning QB, and thus there is every reason to believe as he is now healthy that they are one of the four best teams in the country" followed by the usual jargon of how many ranked teams we beat yadda yadda.

 

[RollTide_HTTR]

My fear is that they are going to avoid the debate between “3 loss teams” by putting Miami at 11. Usually the committees take the path of least resistance, and that may just be as simple as # of losses.

Yup

 

[CajunCrimson]

 

[CajunCrimson]

 

[CajunCrimson]

The playoff projector -- has the percentages as:
Bama 30.9%
Miami 23.6%
South Carolina 20.9%

 

[jthomas666]

The playoff projector -- has the percentages as:
Bama 30.9%
Miami 23.6%
South Carolina 20.9%

TBH, I'd put SCar in over us. We may have more talent, but they're playing better (and more consistently), regardless of the head to head results.

 

[rtr90]

Last year though the path of least resistance would have been to put undefeated FSU in the playoff but they chose Alabama. So they may take Alabama over Miami.

different committee .. this one has been strange to begin with

 

[colbysullivan]

TBH, I'd put SCar in over us. We may have more talent, but they're playing better (and more consistently), regardless of the head to head results.

I’m sorry but “playing better right now” is not a playoff metric. We beat them straight up.

 

[rtr90]

I’m sorry but “playing better right now” is not a playoff metric. We beat them straight up.

u might be right on that but we have heard the committee chair use that language talking with Rece very frequently

 

[Slowpoke Catracho]

IMO! The "eeyores" don't want us to go because they somehow have this fictional pride that they project on to the team and if you can't win it all, then you don't deserve to go at all. When the reality is that they probably work with people that "rib" them on Mondays after an Alabama loss and they can't take it! Then there are those of us that believe that any extra practice or game experience is good for next years team and recruiting. I'll take it if we get in and certainly if we get a good bowl game!

 

[CajunCrimson]

TBH, I'd put SCar in over us. We may have more talent, but they're playing better (and more consistently), regardless of the head to head results.

I get we are all feeling bad because of a 3-loss season -- but two teams with the same record, head to head is always the first tie-breaker...always!

I get that the committee doesn't use a pre-determined tie-breaker approach... BUT -- I don't want to live in a world where (everything else is equal) - head-to-head isn't the main tiebreaker.

The other thing -- I keep hearing about like opponents - and how USCe did vs Vandy, OU

But -- what about the other "like" opponents? LSU (they lost),MIssouri, they won by 4...?

USCe -- also missed Texas, Georgia on their schedule - AND lost to Ole Miss, and LSU..

Bama Opponents Records in 2024 - 92-52
USCe Opponents Records in 2024 - 82-52

Their best win is vs Clemson? All other top 20 teams they played, they lost - (Assuming Texas 8&4 isn't in the top 20 next week)

I'm not seeing how they get in...

 

[RammerJammer15]

I hope we get in, while I think a lot of teams can beat Alabama, I don’t think there’s anyone that Alabama can’t beat.

 

[Slowpoke Catracho]

I hope we get in, while I think a lot of teams can beat Alabama, I don’t think there’s anyone that Alabama can’t beat.

Luckily, none of them will be "unranked"!

 

[PA Tide Fan]

Heather Dinich has us out but I always use her as a contrary indicator so it probably means we're in.

 

[TexasBama]

11th in coaches poll.

NCAA College Football Coaches Poll | USA Today Sports

The US LBM Football Coaches Poll, published by USA TODAY Sports, is conducted weekly throughout the NCAA college football season. See the latest Top 25 rankings from the game’s best head coaches.

sportsdata.usatoday.com

 

[crimsonaudio]

I'm 100% in the same place I was last year - make it or not, whatever. Bama had the chance (more than once) to remove any doubt as to whether or not they should be in the CFP and failed.

So "it is what it is" - I have zero anxiety about it and won't lose a moment's sleep over whatever they decide.

 

[TexasBama]

The polls and CFP ranking has tracked closely.

 

[colbysullivan]

11th in coaches poll.

NCAA College Football Coaches Poll | USA Today Sports

The US LBM Football Coaches Poll, published by USA TODAY Sports, is conducted weekly throughout the NCAA college football season. See the latest Top 25 rankings from the game’s best head coaches.

sportsdata.usatoday.com

Irrelevant

 

[Slowpoke Catracho]

Heather Dinich has us out but I always use her as a contrary indicator so it probably means we're in.

She also says we should hope that Clemson beats SMU.