I agree on Florida-FSU. The team that I watched dismantle Clemson Saturday night has, in my opinion, about a 100% chance to go into the bowls as undefeated ACC champ. I just can't see anybody left on their schedule who can beat them and I really don't think Va. Tech could play with them either if it comes down to that.
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I agree on Florida-FSU. The team that I watched dismantle Clemson Saturday night has, in my opinion, about a 100% chance to go into the bowls as undefeated ACC champ. I just can't see anybody left on their schedule who can beat them and I really don't think Va. Tech could play with them either if it comes down to that.
Florida State will be a three-touchdown favorite over every team they have left on the schedule, with the possible exception of Miami, against whom they may "only" be a 14-17 point favorite. A regular season loss by them at this point would be a monumental upset.
And Virginia Tech may "play with them" in the ACC Championship Game for a while, but unless that VT offense improves dramatically almost literally overnight -- and there is absolutely no reason to think that will happen -- the best-case scenario in that game is that VT loses by a respectably close margin of, say, 7-14 points.
Miami will be a heavily-hyped game just because the 'Canes will, nominally, come in at 7-0 and a top ten team -- even though they really haven't beaten anyone of note, and have had close calls against mediocre-at-best teams -- but I really see no reason to think that FSU won't rumble over them just like they did Clemson. Stephen Morris would need the game of his life to give them a real chance.
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Nothing is ever 100% in football. All it take are a few key injuries and a few poorly timed turnovers and anyone can beat just about anyone.
All of this seems true and likely, but they still have to play the games. Right now it looks like 4 or 5 teams will be undefeated at the end of the season - from major conferences. That will not happen. The losses will come from unexpected places, or in big games - but they will come.
I concur completely, but remember, I qualified my opinion by saying, "the team I saw totally dismantle Clemson". So I'm basically saying, "unless something drastic happens injury wise I don't think they'll lose before the bowls".
Baylor will fall by the wayside at some point (their five toughest games have yet to be played), but given the relative weaknesses of the remaining schedules, not to say that they couldn't lose, but it would take a huge upset for either Florida State or Ohio State to falter. At most, FSU and OSU look to have a combined two games remaining against ranked teams.
Alabama and Oregon are a bit of a different story. Combined those two have seven games left against ranked teams -- LSU, Auburn, Mizzou, Stanford, UCLA, Oregon State, and the Pac-12 South winner -- and admittedly there are numerous opportunities for one (or both) of them to go down. Florida State and Ohio State? Not nearly as much.
Think about all of the losses that allowed Alabama into the last 2 BCSCGs. How many of them were to ranked teams?
Outside of the Oklahoma State's 2011 debacle against Iowa State, pretty much all of them. Oregon lost to top ten USC and Stanford teams in 2011 and 2012, respectively, '11 Oklahoma lost to a top fifteen Baylor team, and '12 Kansas State lost to a pretty good Baylor team (can't recall where they ended up ranked, but they were top 25-30).
My point is that the upsets were typically against good, quality football teams, of which Florida State and Ohio State have very few remaining. Could it happen? Sure, but I think it's fairly obvious that the odds are heavily against it.
Or this past weekend. Literally every team in the SEC was supposed to have a routine win over an unranked or barely ranked team, and every single one of them lost, with the exception being Missouri. I didn't see that coming in a million years.
I don't see Florida State having a chance of losing until the ACC title game. Even then it's a rematch against Miami or it's Virginia Tech, neither of which have enough talent to beat FSU unless the Seminoles show up drunk or hungover.
Oregon is a different story. Despite their desire for a game with us, they don't match up at all with a team capable of playing smash mouth football. Stanford will likely beat them again this year and I won't be surprised if they lose to Oregon State.
Of course, we have the usual pitfalls. LSU and Auburn look to be very tough games indeed. And then the SEC title game won't be a cake walk.
Oregon is a different story. Despite their desire for a game with us, they don't match up at all with a team capable of playing smash mouth football. Stanford will likely beat them again this year and I won't be surprised if they lose to Oregon State.
Of course, we have the usual pitfalls. LSU and Auburn look to be very tough games indeed. And then the SEC title game won't be a cake walk.
JBama_in_PCOLA
TideFans Legend
I love the sentiment, but I just have to say: "I'll have whatever that gentleman is drinking, please, it seems to be working!"
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Frankly I'm more worried about LSU and the barn than I am of the seccg or the BCSCG if we get there.
Disagree on the BCSNCG -- unless, in the unlikely event, we get Baylor or Ohio State in Pasadena -- but I think you're certainly right on the SEC Championship Game. I've been convinced the past couple of weeks that Auburn would win the SEC East outright with no real problem. LSU would do the same.
Obviously the match-up is hypothetical at this point, but I think a 12-0 Alabama team losing to Mizzou in Atlanta would easily be the biggest upset in SECCG history. Don't think even '01 LSU over Tennessee would even come close.
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None of this is going to matter unless we beat Tenercee, Mittittippi Tate, and the Barn and then probably Mizzou in the SECCG. I'm worried about all of them.
P. S. I'm not that worried about Chattanooga, at this time. However, I haven't looked at their record to see how they are doing this year.
P. S. I'm not that worried about Chattanooga, at this time. However, I haven't looked at their record to see how they are doing this year.
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