I wonder if we should set the over/under for the Bama-Miss. St. game at 2.5
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I would hate sweating the under for 60 minutes...
I wonder if we should set the over/under for the Bama-Miss. St. game at 2.5
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Is it really that difficult to see what the problem is? If this was the first or second year of this offense I could understand. But this is the fourth year, and Alabama is still on pace to average fewer than 25 points a game. Same as the previous three seasons. Is it that difficult to look at the numbers, the production of this offense going on year 4 to realize that it's a poorly designed offensive scheme with average, predictable playcalling? It's not the number of passes you throw, or the number of times you run the ball, or the time of possession during the course of a game that makes an offense successful.
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If you want to see great examples of offensive playcalling/execution/keeping the defense off balance watch Auburn, Louisville, West Virginia, California, Georgia, UCLA, Arizona State, Rutgers.
25.5 points per game, 24.6 points per game, 21.9 points per game...for an average of 24 points a game through three seasons. Year four? Well, we're on pace to keep up with the four year trend of declining points...with a whopping 19 points per game. If the purpose of an offense is to score points, what is the point of supporting what has proven to be a predictable, poorly designed farce of an SEC offense? Will it take 5 years of finishing in the bottom half of the SEC offensively to convince people? For the Tampa Bay Buccaneers all it took was a 12-6 loss in the NFC Championship game against the St. Louis Rams and finishing no higher than 22nd in total offense from 1996 to 1999.
In Mike Shula's last year at Tampa Bay they finished 27th in points scored...the next season Tampa Bay finished 7th in points scored.
I absolutely love Mike Shula. I want him to remain the coach at Alabama for many years to come. But the evidence is there.
SEC scoring
2005: 9 of 12
2004: 8 of 12
2003: 9 of 12
NFL scoring
1999: 27 of 31
1998: 18 of 30 (!)
1997: 24 of 30
1996: 30 of 30
Somebody convince me that we will finish higher than 8th in the SEC in scoring this year after our first two games...please.
I don't know if this has been brought up or not and if it has I apologize, but CrimsonDuck brought up why don't we run more misdirection and counter running plays instead of the plays we do run. I'm of the opinion that if we're stuggling to handle the plays that we currently run, there's no way we could handle more misdirection plays. Misdirection and counter plays are more difficult to execute than conventional run plays and that's the root of our current problems is execution. I also think that if you can't succeed on a consistent basis in "straight" run plays, you're more than likely not going to succeed in misdirection run plays as well.
I'm going to make this very short.
In 2004, our offense averaged
42.7 points per game until Brodie got injured.
After that point on, our offense averaged 18.5 points per game.
In 2005, our offense averaged
29.6 points per game until Prothro got injured.
After that point on, our offense averaged 16.4 points per game.
Those are the facts. Whether you like you or not, whether you want to admit it or not, injuries did have a major part in our team over the past two years. Coach Shula, of course, never used that as an excuse, but I can. So can most of these fans who still remember what happened in those years.
Here is another way to look at the situation. Our true freshmen LT Andre Smith already looks to be better than our former LT Chris Capps (who is a Junior) in every aspects. And Chris Capps looks to be better than former starting RT Kyle Tatum (Senior). What does that say to you? That our play calling sucks? That we have no imagination on offense?![]()
Yes. 42.7 points per game in 2004 against Utah State, Ole Miss, and Western Carolina...come on. Yes, it is 42.7 points a game, and it looks gaudy, but when you score 48 against Utah State and 52 against Western Carolina...that has the tendency to skew statistics.
In 2005 we were averaging 29.6 points a game until Prothro got injured. Okay. This is a fact. But if an offense's success hinges on whether one reciever is available or not, it is just not a well designed offense. The fact that the offense totally collapsed when ONE player went down is a great example of what is wrong with the offense. It is an offense that must have everything going for it...senior leadership, superior offensive line play, athletic recievers, and talented runnings backs in order to succeed. If a reciever goes down, your offensive output should not drop 13 points. That is just ridiculous. Prothro is a bonafied playmaker, but when you have DJ Hall, Keith Brown, Ken Darby, and a senior QB...even with the incompetent offensive line...it should still be able to muster more than 3 offensive points against Mississippi State, and be able to muster more than 16 points a game, and 10.6 points a game in SEC play after Prothro was injured.
Yes. I still maintain that this offense maxes out in the mid-20's. And seeing as Bama has a tradition of average offense and stifling defense, I'll bet that most will be content with at least "okay" offensive play as long as our defense remains the foundation of the program...but in 2006 it does take more than defense to win championships...you have to have a little bit of offense as well...I suppose we could go the 2003 Ohio State route and win close game after close game, which is what we've been doing for about a year now, but I think I just love Alabama football too much and want everything about the team to be perfect....I know the days of not having to worry about freakin Vanderbilt are on the horizon...I can see SEC teams fearing coming to BD Stadium, not because of the crowd noise, but because they very well might be handed a royal beatdown...ala Louisville (average score Louisville: 50.1 Opponents: 16.7 (!) during their 13 game home win streak).
What I have seen on the field for 2+ years is an offense that has underachieved (yes, even with the injuries), and a defense that has absolutely maxed out their potential. What I look at is the previous success of the coaches on both sides of the ball. Well, on one hand we have Joe Kines, who has one of the best resume's in college football. And on one hand we have Mike Shula, who has absolutely no prior success and has had no success in 3+ years here. I love Mike Shula...but why does he need to call plays? Pete Carrol WAS USC's defensive coordinator for 4 years until he decided to give up the reigns and focus on the team as a WHOLE. Considering our utter lack of success, and lack of overachieving in any regard on the offensive side of the ball since 2003, it is just my opinion, but it doesn't seem logical to continue down this path when it clearly is not working. I don't mean to be soooo negative, because the situation isn't nearly dire enough to where everyone should be up in arms, but it's just my opinion that this offense that we are running, even with all of the positives that we have seen throughout the course of games over the past couple of years, is just not the answer. If this offense suddenly pumps out points on a consistent basis, I will be the biggest fan of it, and the first to say "I was very very wrong, sorry coach!", but I just cannot see it unless we have 1st rd. NFL talent at more than one position...which isn't likely considering Bama only has 3 1st Rd. offensive picks in the last 20+ years.
When schools like Louisville, West Virginia, Iowa, Purdue, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Northwestern, Iowa State, and Wake Forest can each reach levels of offensive output Alabama has only seen once or twice in two decades it is very frustrating. I know Alabama plays in the SEC, where defense reigns supreme, but there have definitely been some potent offenses in the SEC the past couple decades. But none of the schools I listed above are anywhere near the same stratosphere as Alabama is tradition-wise in college football. They just are not. Alabama is on another level. I do not know what to attribute the utter lack of offensive success by Bama over the years...a lack of talent? a lack of coaching? traditonally conservative playcalling? who knows?? But when I look at a school like Wake Forest piece together a better 3 year offensive run than Alabama has had since Bear Bryant it's just baffling. Can anyone here name a single Wake Forest player? I can...Chris Barclay...but that's it!
Sorry for the length of the posts here, but I feel very strongly about this offensive situation that we have been going through for a few years...ROLL TIDE!!
The thing is we have ran some of these plays this year.
I know that, but I don't think running more of these types of plays is the answer to our struggles as others have tried to say it is.
Our struggles hasn't been from playcalling though. Dropped passes and two passes that were barely out of bounds against Hawaii was a big factor in the game being close. That is execution and not playcalling. Against Vandy, two fumbles in the redzone, a missed field goal and a failed fake fg kept that game close. In both games, play calling put us in a very good position to put plenty of points on the board but execution is where we failed. I know that Coach Shula is responsible for getting our players to execute but we do have a new QB whose timing will improve and we have a revamped o-line that is learning new technique. These circumstances lead to execution problems in the short term.
Whoa whoa whoa!!! I think you're misunderstanding the whole reason behind my post. Go back and look at some of my other posts and you'll see that I'm definitely not one of the people claiming that playcalling is the root of our problems so far. I firmly believe that at this point the execution of the called plays is definitely the problem not the other way around. I was just trying to refute others' claims that if we ran more misdirection and counters our run game would suddenly be cured.
IMHO, I think the Tide is still on track to return to greatness, but all this duscussion about the offense makes me wonder what a Joe Kines defense combined with a Mike Price offense might have looked like if ole Pappy had not gone on his little excursion to the strip club?
I would be afraid to see what a cross between Joe Kines and Mike Price would look like!:biggrin2:
oops... As I said in the post above, my reading comprehension is really lacking tonight.
I know it's getting late, because I find myself with unprintable analogies as to how "worn-out" the spread would get...
Skew the statistics? Not anymore than how you somehow want to throw in the stats from 2003, Mike Shula's first year which he didn't even have a spring practice with the team, into the equation to support your case. I simply showed you how much impact our injury problem had on our offensive woes. Oh, did I mention we also had serious injury problems in 2003? I thought you should know that as well.
And what about all those dropped passes? If you recall, our team led the SEC in dropped passes. Our team led the SEC in sacks allowed. So what are those? Also offensive calling problem? If you can come up with a passing play that would guarantee no dropped pass and no sacks, then feel free to share that. Sure, some of the plays are questionable, but to put the entire blame on the offensive calling and on Shula's shoulder is just plain stupid. You can't just look at the surface of what is showing on the stats, then call the offense "unimaginative". The stats I showed you prove that this offense can, and will, put enough scores on the board. Which brings up to my next point...
I will be honest. I am more than content with offense scoring enough for us to win. The only stat that matters at the end of the game is Win-Loss column, period. You, on the other hand, somehow think that's not the case. You want Bama to air out in every possession and score 50+ points like Louiville or early 90s Florida team. (Yes, you have to throw the ball if you want to score that many points especially in today's rule). But that's not me. I'm happy with a ball controlling, clock eating, field position game. Defense wins the championship. That is a proven and effective strategy.
Again, you are ignoring the fact that we have gone through some tough situations. Numerous coaching changes, serious injury problems, scholarship reductions, medicore recruiting prior to Shula's arrival...etc. But I suppose none of those matters. We should be going all out and score 50+ points every game. Just like how I do in my PS2 NCAA2007.
All I can say is... Watch out, or you might actually get what you wish for![]()
Tell me, how many national championships have Louisville, West Virginia, Iowa, Purdue, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Northwestern, Iowa State, and Wake Forest won?
No problem. I actually have been enjoying this debate.![]()
Sorry. I should be in bed. My reading comprehension nor my ability to translate my thoughts into words have been the best tonight.