Russia Invades Ukraine XVI

Tidewater

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Mar 15, 2003
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Snyder is well thought of. I have two of his books on the bookshelf.
In this case, I think he is off-base. Ukraine is not Czechoslovakia. 2024 Russia is not 1938 Germany. Not closely enough to make the argument by analogy work. And NATO today is not the Franco-British alliance of 1939.
2024 Russia is, I believe more analogous to the 1912 Ottoman Empire.
 

Its On A Slab

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Apr 18, 2018
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Snyder is well thought of. I have two of his books on the bookshelf.
In this case, I think he is off-base. Ukraine is not Czechoslovakia. 2024 Russia is not 1938 Germany. Not closely enough to make the argument by analogy work. And NATO today is not the Franco-British alliance of 1939.
2024 Russia is, I believe more analogous to the 1912 Ottoman Empire.
I also think that, even though it has been reported that Putin has put Russia on a war footing with industry, the Russian economy is dwarfed by most other nations. Even if he ramps up production of war materiel to a great extent, how is he going to fund a many-pronged invasion of NATO countries? NATO will not be the aggressor if a war does break out. And where is Russia going to find an army to fight after he's killed off so many of his young and able men in his population in the Ukraine meatgrinder? There is only so far that Chechen, prisoner and other mercenaries will go to push his stupid aims.
 

TIDE-HSV

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Oct 13, 1999
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SMH

I think we've seen the end of "escalation management." I understand this only applies to Kharkiv, which is unique in that RF forces are grouping and regrouping on Russian soil so close to the front. I look for this to pull the teeth of the Russian advance on Kharkiv. If it's expanded to the fronts further east and south, it will cramp the Russians' style there also...