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Michigan Opens as Slight Favorite in Rose Bowl

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JustNeedMe81

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tideindc said:
You make great points. It’s just that this years team is unpredictable…..so I’m not gonna expect the W until the final second. And I do think Michigan is better than most here do
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I'm not the type to talk down on any other teams, but Michigan? i'm not impressed with them at all. They are last year version of TCU. Their best skiilled player? Their RB. Their QB is thriving because of the performance of the RB.
 
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Al A Bama

Al A Bama

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JustNeedMe81 said:
I'm not the type to talk down on any other teams, but Michigan? i'm not impressed with them at all. They are last year version of TCU. Their best skiilled player? Their RB. Their QB is thriving because of the performance of the RB.
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I think Michigan has a very good DEFENSE. Also, that RB (Corum) is excellent. Bama's defense will have to STOP him.
 
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PA Tide Fan

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landonew said:
This line will move a bit over the coming weeks as sports books adjust in response to early betting trends.

sports.yahoo.com

Bettors are heavily backing Alabama to beat Michigan in the Rose Bowl

The spread has already shifted in Alabama's favor as bettors love the Tide to win outright.
sports.yahoo.com sports.yahoo.com
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One definite factor in the betting is the coaches. The fact that when Saban is given weeks to prepare for an opponent Alabama will be ready to play and also the fact that Harbaugh's bowl record is a dismal 2-7 (1-6 at Michigan).
 
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cbi1972

cbi1972

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81usaf92 said:
But you have yet to explain how betting action has any effect on a game. The whole street bookie boxing stories and the black Sox scandal has way too many people convinced that it is a common occurrence and not the rarest of occasion it actually is.
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I would say the betting action correlates with public opinion, social media, and broadcast media, all of which impacts team motivation in unmeasurable ways.
 
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landonew

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cbi1972 said:
I would say the betting action correlates with public opinion, social media, and broadcast media, all of which impacts team motivation in unmeasurable ways.
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This is true. The public perception is that Michigan is better and that perception has zero influence on the outcome. indeed, a little rat poison never hurts. They prepare better with a chip on their shoulder.
 
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81usaf92

81usaf92

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cbi1972 said:
I would say the betting action correlates with public opinion, social media, and broadcast media, all of which impacts team motivation in unmeasurable ways.
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But the implication was that Vegas and refs were determining games to save the overhead. Motivation from teams I can get, but outright screwing someone to protect Vegas is a bridge too far.
 
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Bama Lee

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crimsonaudio said:
No, betting literally does not affect games - unless the coaches / players change their play because they are involved.

Otherwise, observation does not affect the actual performance.

Yes, Vegas is virtually always correct, but it's because they analyze data - not because of how people are betting.
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It would say it does in the case of Alabama being perceived as an underdog. Their whole mantra this season is based on disrespect and them versus the world (ie LANK). The team uses the fuel of Vegas saying they are the underdog. Many players were quoting the Vegas line and saying, "see, we are better!"
 
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crimsonaudio

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Bama Lee said:
It would say it does in the case of Alabama being perceived as an underdog. Their whole mantra this season is based on disrespect and them versus the world (ie LANK). The team uses the fuel of Vegas saying they are the underdog. Many players were quoting the Vegas line and saying, "see, we are better!"
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Okay, that's a fair point.
 
C

countrytider

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landonew said:
This is true. The public perception is that Michigan is better and that perception has zero influence on the outcome. indeed, a little rat poison never hurts. They prepare better with a chip on their shoulder.
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The public perception is NOT that Michigan is better. Maybe the committee and the media narrative is that..….and VEGAS has Michigan a -1.5 Favorite…..so yes Alabama is technically an “underdog” according to VEGAS…

but the BETTING PUBLIC is literally betting Alabama at an 83% clip like it’s easy money. Over 16k bets.

That’s ALWAYS a concern when Vegas allows lopsided action on one side without adjusting the line very much..

Anyone who bets knows this…
 

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R

RollTide_HTTR

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Countrytider2 said:
The public perception is NOT that Michigan is better. Maybe the committee and the media narrative is that..….and VEGAS has Michigan a -1.5 Favorite…..so yes Alabama is technically an “underdog” according to VEGAS…

but the BETTING PUBLIC is literally betting Alabama at an 83% clip like it’s easy money. Over 16k bets.

That’s ALWAYS a concern when Vegas allows lopsided action on one side without adjusting the line very much..

Anyone who bets knows this…
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Is that 83% money or tickets?
 
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