Every metric points to Alabama being in at #4 except FSU being an undefeated conference champ. Strength of schedule, best win, etc.
So will the committee follow the criteria they have laid out and stated over and over?
1) the four best teams
2) if teams are seen as equal, then head to head, SoS, etc are the deciding factors.
3)the best win on the team’s schedule
4) significant injuries impacting the respective team’s abilities going forward
Clearly the logic points to Alabama. But logic does not decide things like this. Anyone that has ever been part of group making decision like this know that many times logic is the very last factor. Politics plays the largest role.
In general, it falls to the path of least resistance and what is least controversial?
And what is the easiest path for this committee? That is what concerns me.