Okay, here's the skinny, at least from my perspective. I expect Alabama to get off to a rugged start, possibly dropping the Ark and GA game, sweep the middle, and shock either LSU or Auburn, and probably annihlate their bowl opponent, finishing 2/3 in the SEC West (due to their upset of one of the aforementioned programs).
Saban's teams have a knack for doing something Bama has not done since Stallings... get better and better as the season progresses and become downright monsters at the end of the season. Also, with the "every play" process Saban espouses, Auburn and LSU folks may as well forget BAMA rolling over the the 4th quarter. Remember that LSU team who slung out that hail mary play and scored the winning TD as the clock hit 0:00... I believe South Carolina had already torn down the goal post on the far side of the field before they realized that they had lost.
BAMA moved the ball on EVERYONE they played last Season AT WILL----- between the 20's and choked with the Jumbo Package and "Darby up the middle...2 yard loss" in the Red Zone. Those p'roblems should be gone this season. Also, when these starters the past few years would get a 2 score lead, the "Prevent" defense and "clock management" offense would come into play... making us blow leads and lose games.
While Saban is not a fast to go for the jugular as Spurrier, expect some of our opponents to get mad when they see the clock a 1:14 in the 4th, on a three TD lead, and Saban fans out four recievers and drops John-Parker into the shotgun, when a knee would end the game.
Now with this nationly recognized potentially lethal offense, why am I not saying "BCS Baby..all the way!" ???
DEFENSE. We are thin, and inexperienced. I expect many games to boil down to offensive shootouts, like the 1999 Florida game. Hence.... DRUMROLL PLEASE....
ALABAMA 8-4/9-3 on the regular season.. coming close enough to smell the smog in Atlanta but just not quite making it to the party.