Question: So I must ask, who do you think will win it all?

Redwood Forrest

Hall of Fame
Sep 19, 2003
11,275
1,271
287
77
Boaz, AL USA
Sagarin & Massey composite ranking

Big 10
Oregon
3
AQ
ND
4
7
Ohio St
7
SEC
Georgia
7
8
Texas
9
9
Alabama
12
10
Penn St
15
11
Tenn
17
12
Ole Miss
16
Indiana
21
SC
24
Big 12
Ariz St
25
SMU
25
ACC
Clemson
30
MWC
Boise
53
 
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BamaMoon

Hall of Fame
Apr 1, 2004
22,455
20,129
282
Boone, NC
I think UGA is too much like Bama this year. Even with Beck (and who knows if he'll play), they were too unpredictable and and down all year. Yeah, the won most of their games, but they allowed very average teams to hang around too.

Their offense and defense looks suspect at times.

Don't know who will, but I just don't see them winning it.
 
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selmaborntidefan

TideFans Legend
Mar 31, 2000
37,202
31,649
287
55
I could use $600k (technically I think i only would get $599,900) but in reality I would be out $100
Don't feel bad.

My first thought when I saw your post was, "Holy cow, I can retire on that!"

But that would be the "old school way" of 6000:1 odds.

I even Googled it to make sure - because I literally do not gamble.
 
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DzynKingRTR

TideFans Legend
Dec 17, 2003
45,485
35,538
287
Vinings, ga., usa
Don't feel bad.

My first thought when I saw your post was, "Holy cow, I can retire on that!"

But that would be the "old school way" of 6000:1 odds.

I even Googled it to make sure - because I literally do not gamble.
yeah, I thought the same. Then you posted and I googled and realized I don't know what I am talking about.
 

tusks_n_raider

Hall of Fame
May 13, 2009
14,298
17,782
187
Mobile, AL
This year has been so crazy I would not be shocked for a lower seeded team outside of the Top 4 to win the NC.

tOSU is good enough to do it if they play their best.

Out of the Top 4 I can see Oregon finally getting over the hump.

I think UGA chokes... just a feeling.

Texas could get hot and make a run.

It just feels like a wide open field where only a few teams have almost no chance.
 

DawgAlum2054

All-SEC
Dec 20, 2018
1,032
1,911
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so if I bet $10 would it still be 6000?
+6000 odds means bet 100 to win 6,000. Bet 10 and you win 600. Bet 1 and you win 60. You would have to bet 10K to win 600K (potentially)

if the odds are -6000 instead of +6000 then you have to bet that stated amount to win 100. When Alabama is playing UMass, the odds are something similar to that. Must bet 6K to win 100 bucks, or bet 600 dollars to win 10 dollars, and so on
 
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DawgAlum2054

All-SEC
Dec 20, 2018
1,032
1,911
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I don't care who wins as long as it's not Georgia.

Having said that, I hope Beck, Stockton, and the punter heal up well. They are having the time of their lives, and I don't like to see anybody hurt.
The punter is out for the year. Many, including Georgia fans, have no idea how big of a deal that is. I would argue its a bigger deal than Beck being out. Thorson is an amazing punter who has flipped the field and allowed GA to win field position battles. Without Thorson this year, Georgia doesnt make the playoffs. Without Thorson and Woodring, GA probably would have won 7 games this year. Special teams is more important than most want to realize
 
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BamaFan6462

BamaNation Citizen
Aug 24, 2023
63
90
42
The punter is out for the year. Many, including Georgia fans, have no idea how big of a deal that is. I would argue its a bigger deal than Beck being out. Thorson is an amazing punter who has flipped the field and allowed GA to win field position battles. Without Thorson this year, Georgia doesnt make the playoffs. Without Thorson and Woodring, GA probably would have won 7 games this year. Special teams is more important than most want to realize
Their fans need an attitude adjustment, so the faster and more catastrophic their elimination from the playoffs, the better. Three national championships spread across forty years and they talk like they’re a dynasty.
 

DzynKingRTR

TideFans Legend
Dec 17, 2003
45,485
35,538
287
Vinings, ga., usa
+6000 odds means bet 100 to win 6,000. Bet 10 and you win 600. Bet 1 and you win 60. You would have to bet 10K to win 600K (potentially)

if the odds are -6000 instead of +6000 then you have to bet that stated amount to win 100. When Alabama is playing UMass, the odds are something similar to that. Must bet 6K to win 100 bucks, or bet 600 dollars to win 10 dollars, and so on
ok that is just the dumbest thing ever. Glad I am not a degenerate gambler. I would be broke within a month
 

KrAzY3

Hall of Fame
Jan 18, 2006
10,938
5,412
187
44
kraizy.art
Boise State IS capable of beating ANY SINGULAR TEAM in ONE GAME in the playoff.
That part is true - especially if they get lucky enough a major contributor goes down for their opponent in the first-round game.

What they are not capable of doing - and their carefully crafted "let's play one team with a decent rep early" schedule - is beating 3 of those teams in a row.

If they were, you'd think they would have scheduled this by now, but they never do.
This bracket is set up as well as possible for Boise State to succeed, all the way down to Georgia being beat up in the SECCG (I spoke about that possibility at length earlier in the season).

Having said that, the best way to describe what Boise State does is they take a cheap sports car and run it at the drag strip against piece of junk cars all year and brag about how good they are. When they do finally meet a good car, they can afford the risk of running a stupid amount of nitrous and if they don't blow up the engine they have a chance of winning. The problem is you can't keep running like that.

Edit: The other aspect of this is when they finally run a into a good car, no one knows what to expect because they've been sandbagging all year. Meanwhile the good car has been pushed all year and not only does everyone know what they are capable of, but they also have more wear and tear.

The translation of this by the way to football terms if that they can afford to put all their resources, time effort, scheming into a couple games a year and gamble it all on that (kind of like Vanderbilt did to Alabama this year). Doing that over and over becomes far more difficult.
 

BhamToTexas

All-American
Dec 25, 2020
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ok that is just the dumbest thing ever. Glad I am not a degenerate gambler. I would be broke within a month
Keep in mind that is the moneyline, so the team just has to win. You can also bet against the spread which you are probably more familiar with I assume. Against the spread you bet $100 to win $100.
 
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DawgAlum2054

All-SEC
Dec 20, 2018
1,032
1,911
187
ok that is just the dumbest thing ever. Glad I am not a degenerate gambler. I would be broke within a month
I enjoy it for cheap entertainment. I might put 10 bucks on a game as an example.

This year myself and 9 friends got together and each picked 1 bet each week and put in 5 dollars. Since it was a 10 way parlay bet, the payout was often around 100K. So for 5 dollars, we had the potential to each walk away with 10k. It obviously never happened. However, the group chats were fun and it kept many of us interested in games we normally would not have been interested in. A lot of entertainment for 5 bucks a week.
 
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