Poll: Donald Trump hush money case - what will the verdict be?

Predict the verdict - Trump hush money trial


  • Total voters
    30
  • Poll closed .
Someone on X just said that Trump’s donation site just crashed. No idea if that’s true.
 
I thought he’d be convicted on the minor counts and have a hung jury on the more serious ones.

Glad to have been wrong.

Yes, he still has a part of the population that will back him regardless. But this is a bridge too far for all but the most rabid.

I’m honestly surprised that being a convicted felon isn’t a disqualification for the job, but apparently it isn’t. Regardless, the electorate is very closely divided. If only 5% of voters change their votes from Trump to Biden, or simply sit home rather than vote for Trump, it swings the election decidedly in Biden’s favor.

The smart move for the Republicans would be to draft Nikki Haley at the convention — she pretty consistently got 20% of the vote in primaries that occurred even after she stopped campaigning.

But that would be smart. And due to the way the Republicans allocate delegates in the primaries, there’s no indication that “smart,” and “Republican delegate,” have much in common.
 
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The smart move for the Republicans would be to draft Nikki Haley at the convention — she pretty consistently got 20% of the vote in primaries that occurred even after she stopped campaigning.
That would almost certainly guarantee a loss in November. The younger Republicans are completely done with the obvious neocons like her. Desantis can a bit more subtle in that department. He might could get an endorsement from Trump; Haley will not.
 
Trump was certain he would get another term. Things are looking up for that.
It’s possible. The verdict is sort of interesting, but won’t be nearly as interesting as polling over the next few weeks.
 
That would almost certainly guarantee a loss in November. The younger Republicans are completely done with the obvious neocons like her. Desantis can a bit more subtle in that department. He might could get an endorsement from Trump; Haley will not.
I’m not so sure, CJ. When her campaign was still active, she consistently polled ahead of Biden in a Haley vs. Biden election. She was actually more electable than Trump.

That’s been a while, and who knows what the impact of several months off the campaign trail would be.

Trump is now the guaranteed loss. Haley might lose as well, but I don’t see it as being the lock that you do.
 

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